huge election predictor overhaul
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9 changed files with 1424 additions and 425 deletions
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assets/ElectoralCollege1789.svg
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|
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style="font-size:13.3333px;text-align:center;text-anchor:middle;fill:#ffffff" /></text>
|
||||||
|
<text
|
||||||
|
id="IDn"
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|
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|
style="font-size:13.3333px"><tspan
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|
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id="tspan22"
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style="font-size:13.3333px;text-align:center;text-anchor:middle;fill:#ffffff;fill-opacity:1" /></text>
|
||||||
|
<text
|
||||||
|
id="MTn"
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|
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|
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|
style="font-size:13.3333px"><tspan
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id="tspan16"
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|
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|
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style="font-size:13.3333px;text-align:center;text-anchor:middle;fill:#ffffff" /></text>
|
||||||
|
<text
|
||||||
|
id="WYn"
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|
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|
style="font-size:13.3333px"><tspan
|
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|
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style="font-size:13.3333px;text-align:center;text-anchor:middle;fill:#ffffff" /></text>
|
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|
<text
|
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|
id="COn"
|
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|
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|
style="font-size:13.3333px"><tspan
|
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id="tspan24"
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|
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style="font-size:13.3333px;text-align:center;text-anchor:middle;fill:#ffffff;fill-opacity:1" /></text>
|
||||||
|
<text
|
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|
id="NMn"
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|
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|
style="font-size:16px"><tspan
|
||||||
|
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|
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|
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|
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|
id="tspan31"
|
||||||
|
style="font-size:16px;text-align:center;text-anchor:middle;fill:#ffffff" /></text>
|
||||||
|
<text
|
||||||
|
id="TXn"
|
||||||
|
x="415.85614"
|
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y="451.69336"
|
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|
style="font-size:13.3333px"><tspan
|
||||||
|
sodipodi:role="line"
|
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|
id="tspan2"
|
||||||
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x="415.85614"
|
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|
y="451.69336"
|
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|
style="font-size:13.3333px;fill:#ffffff;fill-opacity:1" /></text>
|
||||||
|
<text
|
||||||
|
id="OKn"
|
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|
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|
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|
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|
style="font-size:13.3333px;text-align:center;text-anchor:middle;fill:#ffffff;fill-opacity:1"><tspan
|
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sodipodi:role="line"
|
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|
id="tspan6"
|
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|
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|
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|
y="358.28769" /></text>
|
||||||
|
<text
|
||||||
|
id="NEn"
|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
style="font-size:13.3333px"><tspan
|
||||||
|
sodipodi:role="line"
|
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|
id="tspan10"
|
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|
x="414.12476"
|
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|
y="221.48842"
|
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|
style="font-size:13.3333px;text-align:center;text-anchor:middle;fill:#ffffff;fill-opacity:1" /></text>
|
||||||
|
<text
|
||||||
|
id="SDn"
|
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|
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|
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|
y="157.25868"
|
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|
style="font-size:13.3333px"><tspan
|
||||||
|
sodipodi:role="line"
|
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|
id="tspan12"
|
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|
x="415.85419"
|
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|
y="157.25868"
|
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|
style="font-size:13.3333px;text-align:center;text-anchor:middle;fill:#ffffff;fill-opacity:1" /></text>
|
||||||
|
<text
|
||||||
|
id="NDn"
|
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|
x="417.25748"
|
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|
y="91.851349"
|
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|
style="font-size:13.3333px"><tspan
|
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|
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id="tspan14"
|
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|
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|
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|
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style="font-size:13.3333px;text-align:center;text-anchor:middle;fill:#ffffff;fill-opacity:1" /></text>
|
||||||
|
<text
|
||||||
|
id="ARn"
|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
style="font-size:13.3333px"><tspan
|
||||||
|
sodipodi:role="line"
|
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|
id="tspan52"
|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
style="font-size:13.3333px;text-align:center;text-anchor:middle;fill:#ffffff;fill-opacity:1" /></text>
|
||||||
|
<text
|
||||||
|
id="MSn"
|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
style="font-size:13.3333px"><tspan
|
||||||
|
sodipodi:role="line"
|
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|
id="tspan48"
|
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|
x="597.98846"
|
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|
y="417.18863"
|
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|
style="font-size:13.3333px;text-align:center;text-anchor:middle;fill:#ffffff;fill-opacity:1" /></text>
|
||||||
|
<text
|
||||||
|
id="ALn"
|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
style="font-size:13.3333px"><tspan
|
||||||
|
sodipodi:role="line"
|
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|
id="tspan58"
|
||||||
|
x="650.66272"
|
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|
y="409.38675"
|
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|
style="font-size:13.3333px;text-align:center;text-anchor:middle;fill:#ffffff;fill-opacity:1" /></text>
|
||||||
|
<text
|
||||||
|
id="GAn"
|
||||||
|
x="714.30121"
|
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|
y="407.73816"
|
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|
style="font-size:13.3333px"><tspan
|
||||||
|
sodipodi:role="line"
|
||||||
|
id="tspan50"
|
||||||
|
x="714.30121"
|
||||||
|
y="407.73816"
|
||||||
|
style="font-size:13.3333px;text-align:center;text-anchor:middle;fill:#ffffff;fill-opacity:1" /></text>
|
||||||
|
<text
|
||||||
|
id="FLn"
|
||||||
|
x="763.43597"
|
||||||
|
y="504.54953"
|
||||||
|
style="font-size:13.3333px"><tspan
|
||||||
|
sodipodi:role="line"
|
||||||
|
id="tspan56"
|
||||||
|
x="763.43597"
|
||||||
|
y="504.54953"
|
||||||
|
style="font-size:13.3333px;text-align:center;text-anchor:middle;fill:#f8f8f8;fill-opacity:1" /></text>
|
||||||
|
<text
|
||||||
|
id="SCn"
|
||||||
|
x="759.23254"
|
||||||
|
y="347.11545"><tspan
|
||||||
|
sodipodi:role="line"
|
||||||
|
x="759.23254"
|
||||||
|
y="347.11545"
|
||||||
|
id="tspan61"
|
||||||
|
style="font-size:13.3333px;text-align:center;text-anchor:middle;fill:#ffffff;fill-opacity:1" /></text>
|
||||||
|
<text
|
||||||
|
id="NCn"
|
||||||
|
x="781.7052"
|
||||||
|
y="328.48581"
|
||||||
|
style="font-size:13.3333px"><tspan
|
||||||
|
sodipodi:role="line"
|
||||||
|
id="tspan68"
|
||||||
|
x="781.7052"
|
||||||
|
y="328.48581"
|
||||||
|
style="font-size:13.3333px;text-align:center;text-anchor:middle;fill:#ffffff;fill-opacity:1" /></text>
|
||||||
|
<text
|
||||||
|
id="TNn"
|
||||||
|
x="659.12402"
|
||||||
|
y="401.87637"
|
||||||
|
style="font-size:13.3333px"><tspan
|
||||||
|
sodipodi:role="line"
|
||||||
|
id="tspan65"
|
||||||
|
x="659.12402"
|
||||||
|
y="401.87637"
|
||||||
|
style="font-size:13.3333px;text-align:center;text-anchor:middle;fill:#ffffff;fill-opacity:1">GA</tspan><tspan
|
||||||
|
sodipodi:role="line"
|
||||||
|
id="tspan66"
|
||||||
|
x="659.12402"
|
||||||
|
y="418.543"
|
||||||
|
style="font-size:13.3333px;text-align:center;text-anchor:middle;fill:#ffffff;fill-opacity:1">5</tspan></text>
|
||||||
|
<text
|
||||||
|
id="TNn-3"
|
||||||
|
x="754.21326"
|
||||||
|
y="368.78839"
|
||||||
|
style="font-size:13.3333px"><tspan
|
||||||
|
sodipodi:role="line"
|
||||||
|
id="tspan65-5"
|
||||||
|
x="754.21326"
|
||||||
|
y="368.78839"
|
||||||
|
style="font-size:13.3333px;text-align:center;text-anchor:middle;fill:#ffffff;fill-opacity:1">SC</tspan><tspan
|
||||||
|
sodipodi:role="line"
|
||||||
|
id="tspan66-5"
|
||||||
|
x="754.21326"
|
||||||
|
y="385.45502"
|
||||||
|
style="font-size:13.3333px;text-align:center;text-anchor:middle;fill:#ffffff;fill-opacity:1">7</tspan></text>
|
||||||
|
<text
|
||||||
|
id="KYn"
|
||||||
|
x="756.65363"
|
||||||
|
y="277.30893"
|
||||||
|
style="font-size:13.3333px"><tspan
|
||||||
|
sodipodi:role="line"
|
||||||
|
id="tspan69"
|
||||||
|
x="756.65363"
|
||||||
|
y="277.30893"
|
||||||
|
style="font-size:13.3333px;text-align:center;text-anchor:middle;fill:#ffffff">VA</tspan><tspan
|
||||||
|
sodipodi:role="line"
|
||||||
|
id="tspan70"
|
||||||
|
x="756.65363"
|
||||||
|
y="293.97556"
|
||||||
|
style="font-size:13.3333px;text-align:center;text-anchor:middle;fill:#ffffff">10</tspan></text>
|
||||||
|
<text
|
||||||
|
id="VAn"
|
||||||
|
x="771.05426"
|
||||||
|
y="282.73816"
|
||||||
|
style="font-size:13.3333px"><tspan
|
||||||
|
sodipodi:role="line"
|
||||||
|
id="tspan86"
|
||||||
|
x="771.05426"
|
||||||
|
y="282.73816"
|
||||||
|
style="font-size:13.3333px;fill:#ffffff" /></text>
|
||||||
|
<text
|
||||||
|
id="PAn"
|
||||||
|
x="779.22137"
|
||||||
|
y="210.08958"
|
||||||
|
style="font-size:13.3333px"><tspan
|
||||||
|
sodipodi:role="line"
|
||||||
|
id="tspan87"
|
||||||
|
x="779.22137"
|
||||||
|
y="210.08958"
|
||||||
|
style="font-size:13.3333px;text-align:center;text-anchor:middle;fill:#ffffff">PA</tspan><tspan
|
||||||
|
sodipodi:role="line"
|
||||||
|
id="tspan88"
|
||||||
|
x="779.22137"
|
||||||
|
y="226.75621"
|
||||||
|
style="font-size:13.3333px;text-align:center;text-anchor:middle;fill:#ffffff">10</tspan></text>
|
||||||
|
<text
|
||||||
|
id="MEn"
|
||||||
|
x="891.53564"
|
||||||
|
y="78.833321"
|
||||||
|
style="font-size:13.3333px"><tspan
|
||||||
|
sodipodi:role="line"
|
||||||
|
id="tspan62"
|
||||||
|
x="891.53564"
|
||||||
|
y="78.833321"
|
||||||
|
style="font-size:13.3333px;text-align:center;text-anchor:middle;fill:#ffffff" /></text>
|
||||||
|
<text
|
||||||
|
id="MEn-9"
|
||||||
|
x="885.10718"
|
||||||
|
y="80.869125"
|
||||||
|
style="font-size:14.7521px;stroke-width:0.52686"><tspan
|
||||||
|
sodipodi:role="line"
|
||||||
|
id="tspan4"
|
||||||
|
x="885.10718"
|
||||||
|
y="80.869125"
|
||||||
|
style="fill:#ffffff;stroke-width:0.52686" /><tspan
|
||||||
|
sodipodi:role="line"
|
||||||
|
id="tspan5"
|
||||||
|
x="885.10718"
|
||||||
|
y="99.30925"
|
||||||
|
style="fill:#ffffff;stroke-width:0.52686" /></text>
|
||||||
|
<text
|
||||||
|
id="MEn-9-7"
|
||||||
|
x="877.93567"
|
||||||
|
y="111.5111"
|
||||||
|
style="font-size:14.7521px;stroke-width:0.52686"><tspan
|
||||||
|
sodipodi:role="line"
|
||||||
|
id="tspan4-0"
|
||||||
|
x="877.93567"
|
||||||
|
y="111.5111"
|
||||||
|
style="fill:#ffffff;stroke-width:0.52686" /><tspan
|
||||||
|
sodipodi:role="line"
|
||||||
|
id="tspan5-9"
|
||||||
|
x="877.93567"
|
||||||
|
y="129.95123"
|
||||||
|
style="fill:#ffffff;stroke-width:0.52686" /></text>
|
||||||
|
<text
|
||||||
|
id="MEn-9-0"
|
||||||
|
x="463.3028"
|
||||||
|
y="239.15771"
|
||||||
|
style="font-size:14.7521px;stroke-width:0.52686"><tspan
|
||||||
|
sodipodi:role="line"
|
||||||
|
id="tspan4-6"
|
||||||
|
x="463.3028"
|
||||||
|
y="239.15771"
|
||||||
|
style="fill:#ffffff;fill-opacity:1;stroke-width:0.52686" /><tspan
|
||||||
|
sodipodi:role="line"
|
||||||
|
id="tspan5-2"
|
||||||
|
x="463.3028"
|
||||||
|
y="257.59784"
|
||||||
|
style="fill:#ffffff;fill-opacity:1;stroke-width:0.52686" /></text>
|
||||||
|
<text
|
||||||
|
id="DemL"
|
||||||
|
x="855"
|
||||||
|
y="425" />
|
||||||
|
<text
|
||||||
|
id="RepL"
|
||||||
|
x="855"
|
||||||
|
y="458" />
|
||||||
|
</g>
|
||||||
|
<g
|
||||||
|
font-size="22px"
|
||||||
|
id="g2">
|
||||||
|
<text
|
||||||
|
id="NHn"
|
||||||
|
x="817.56848"
|
||||||
|
y="56.648579"
|
||||||
|
style="font-size:16px"><tspan
|
||||||
|
style="font-size:16px;fill:#ffffff"
|
||||||
|
id="tspan92">NH 5</tspan></text>
|
||||||
|
<text
|
||||||
|
id="MAn"
|
||||||
|
x="905.17847"
|
||||||
|
y="169.01566"
|
||||||
|
style="font-size:13.3333px"><tspan
|
||||||
|
style="font-size:13.3333px;fill:#ffffff"
|
||||||
|
id="tspan94">MA 10</tspan></text>
|
||||||
|
<text
|
||||||
|
id="RIn"
|
||||||
|
x="925"
|
||||||
|
y="199"
|
||||||
|
style="font-size:16px"><tspan
|
||||||
|
style="font-size:16px;fill:#ffffff"
|
||||||
|
id="tspan95" /></text>
|
||||||
|
<text
|
||||||
|
id="CTn"
|
||||||
|
x="918"
|
||||||
|
y="228"
|
||||||
|
style="font-size:16px"><tspan
|
||||||
|
style="fill:#ffffff"
|
||||||
|
id="tspan96">CT 7</tspan></text>
|
||||||
|
<text
|
||||||
|
id="NJn"
|
||||||
|
x="898"
|
||||||
|
y="260"
|
||||||
|
style="font-size:16px"><tspan
|
||||||
|
style="fill:#ffffff"
|
||||||
|
id="tspan97">NJ 6</tspan></text>
|
||||||
|
<text
|
||||||
|
id="DEn"
|
||||||
|
x="891"
|
||||||
|
y="284"
|
||||||
|
style="font-size:16px"><tspan
|
||||||
|
style="font-size:16px;fill:#ffffff"
|
||||||
|
id="tspan98">DE 3</tspan></text>
|
||||||
|
<text
|
||||||
|
id="MDn"
|
||||||
|
x="883"
|
||||||
|
y="305"
|
||||||
|
style="font-size:16px"><tspan
|
||||||
|
style="font-size:16px;fill:#ffffff"
|
||||||
|
id="tspan99">MD 6</tspan></text>
|
||||||
|
<text
|
||||||
|
id="DCn"
|
||||||
|
x="864"
|
||||||
|
y="327"
|
||||||
|
style="font-size:16px"><tspan
|
||||||
|
style="font-size:16px;fill:#ffffff"
|
||||||
|
id="tspan100" /></text>
|
||||||
|
</g>
|
||||||
|
</g>
|
||||||
|
<path
|
||||||
|
d="m 304.45211,224.13438 c 36.981,39.184 39.104,40.251 39.104,40.251"
|
||||||
|
stroke-width="1.5242"
|
||||||
|
stroke="#000000"
|
||||||
|
fill="none"
|
||||||
|
id="path5643"
|
||||||
|
style="fill:#ffffff;stroke-linecap:round" />
|
||||||
|
<path
|
||||||
|
d="m 309.80711,214.28538 c 51,26 51,26 51,26"
|
||||||
|
stroke-width="1.5"
|
||||||
|
stroke="#000000"
|
||||||
|
fill="none"
|
||||||
|
id="path8572"
|
||||||
|
style="fill:#ffffff;stroke-linecap:round" />
|
||||||
|
<path
|
||||||
|
d="m 317.80711,194.28538 c 50,22 50,22 50,22"
|
||||||
|
stroke-width="1.5"
|
||||||
|
stroke="#000000"
|
||||||
|
fill="none"
|
||||||
|
id="path9543"
|
||||||
|
style="fill:#ffffff;stroke-linecap:round" />
|
||||||
|
<path
|
||||||
|
d="m 361.80711,117.28538 c 34,3 34,3 34,3"
|
||||||
|
stroke-width="1.5"
|
||||||
|
stroke="#000000"
|
||||||
|
fill="none"
|
||||||
|
id="path11485"
|
||||||
|
style="fill:#ffffff;stroke-linecap:round" />
|
||||||
|
<path
|
||||||
|
d="m 338.80711,148.28538 c 50,33 51,33 51,33"
|
||||||
|
stroke-width="1.5"
|
||||||
|
stroke="#000000"
|
||||||
|
fill="none"
|
||||||
|
id="path13435"
|
||||||
|
style="fill:#ffffff;stroke-linecap:round" />
|
||||||
|
<path
|
||||||
|
d="m 330.04111,55.519381 c -13.469,-29.469 -13.469,-29.469 -13.469,-29.469"
|
||||||
|
stroke-width="1.5"
|
||||||
|
stroke="#000000"
|
||||||
|
fill="none"
|
||||||
|
id="path14422"
|
||||||
|
style="fill:#ffffff;stroke-linecap:round" />
|
||||||
|
<path
|
||||||
|
d="m 395.64811,120.12638 c -22.682,-40.682003 -22.682,-40.682003 -22.682,-40.682003"
|
||||||
|
stroke-width="2.2871"
|
||||||
|
stroke="#000000"
|
||||||
|
fill="none"
|
||||||
|
id="path9642"
|
||||||
|
style="fill:#ffffff;stroke-width:1.5;stroke-linecap:round;stroke-miterlimit:4;stroke-dasharray:none" />
|
||||||
|
<!--
|
||||||
|
<rect id="Dem" x="828" y="406" height="19" width="19" fill="#698DC5" stroke="#000000" stroke-width="0.8"/>
|
||||||
|
<rect id="Rep" x="828" y="439" height="19" width="19" fill="#F07763" stroke="#000000" stroke-width="0.8"/>
|
||||||
|
-->
|
||||||
|
</svg>
|
After Width: | Height: | Size: 36 KiB |
|
@ -1,4 +1,5 @@
|
||||||
import {ApplicationCommandOptionType} from "discord.js";
|
import {ApplicationCommandOptionType} from "discord.js";
|
||||||
|
import Elections from "./elections/elections.js";
|
||||||
const commands = [
|
const commands = [
|
||||||
{
|
{
|
||||||
name: 'poll',
|
name: 'poll',
|
||||||
|
@ -6,33 +7,54 @@ const commands = [
|
||||||
},
|
},
|
||||||
{
|
{
|
||||||
name: 'simulate',
|
name: 'simulate',
|
||||||
description: "Simulate the 2024 United States Presidential Election",
|
description: "Simulate an election",
|
||||||
options: [
|
options: [
|
||||||
{
|
{
|
||||||
name: 'bias',
|
name: 'election',
|
||||||
description: 'Adds a bias to a certain candidate. Use a positive number for Biden bias, negative for Trump bias',
|
description: 'The election to simulate',
|
||||||
type: ApplicationCommandOptionType.Number,
|
type: ApplicationCommandOptionType.SubcommandGroup,
|
||||||
},
|
options: Object.keys(Elections).map(e => {
|
||||||
|
return {
|
||||||
|
name: e,
|
||||||
|
description: Elections[e].title,
|
||||||
|
type: ApplicationCommandOptionType.Subcommand,
|
||||||
|
options: [
|
||||||
{
|
{
|
||||||
name: 'type',
|
name: 'add_candidate',
|
||||||
description: 'The type of election to simulate. Valid options are senate and presidential (default: presidential)',
|
description: 'Add a candidate to the election',
|
||||||
type: ApplicationCommandOptionType.String,
|
type: ApplicationCommandOptionType.String,
|
||||||
},
|
},
|
||||||
{
|
{
|
||||||
name: 'year',
|
name: 'with_party',
|
||||||
description: 'The year to set the simulation to (default: 2024)',
|
description: 'The party of the candidate to add',
|
||||||
type: ApplicationCommandOptionType.Number,
|
|
||||||
},
|
|
||||||
{
|
|
||||||
name: 'gopcandidate',
|
|
||||||
description: 'The GOP candidate to simulate (default: Donald Trump)',
|
|
||||||
type: ApplicationCommandOptionType.String,
|
type: ApplicationCommandOptionType.String,
|
||||||
},
|
},
|
||||||
{
|
{
|
||||||
name: 'demcandidate',
|
name: 'with_color',
|
||||||
description: 'The Democratic candidate to simulate (default: Joe Biden)',
|
description: 'Hex color of the candidate to add',
|
||||||
type: ApplicationCommandOptionType.String,
|
type: ApplicationCommandOptionType.String
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
{
|
||||||
|
name: 'with_odds',
|
||||||
|
description: 'The odds of the candidate to win in any state',
|
||||||
|
type: ApplicationCommandOptionType.Number
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
...Elections[e].candidates.flatMap(c => [
|
||||||
|
{
|
||||||
|
name: c.party.toLowerCase().replace(/ /g, "_") + "_candidate",
|
||||||
|
description: `The candidate to simulate for the ${c.party} party (Default: ${c.name})`,
|
||||||
|
type: ApplicationCommandOptionType.String
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
{
|
||||||
|
name: c.party.toLowerCase().replace(/ /g, "_") + "_bias",
|
||||||
|
description: `The bias toward the ${c.party} party (Default: 0)`,
|
||||||
|
type: ApplicationCommandOptionType.Number
|
||||||
}
|
}
|
||||||
|
])
|
||||||
|
],
|
||||||
|
};
|
||||||
|
})
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
],
|
],
|
||||||
}
|
}
|
||||||
];
|
];
|
||||||
|
|
19
src/election.ts
Normal file
19
src/election.ts
Normal file
|
@ -0,0 +1,19 @@
|
||||||
|
export default interface Election {
|
||||||
|
title : string,
|
||||||
|
shortname : string,
|
||||||
|
description : string,
|
||||||
|
svg: string,
|
||||||
|
candidates : {
|
||||||
|
name : string,
|
||||||
|
party : string,
|
||||||
|
color : string
|
||||||
|
}[],
|
||||||
|
states : {
|
||||||
|
[key : string] : {
|
||||||
|
electoralVotes : number,
|
||||||
|
odds : {
|
||||||
|
[key : string] : number
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
}
|
214
src/elections/1864.ts
Normal file
214
src/elections/1864.ts
Normal file
|
@ -0,0 +1,214 @@
|
||||||
|
import { readFile } from "node:fs/promises";
|
||||||
|
import Election from "../election.js";
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
const Presidential_1864 = {
|
||||||
|
title: "1864 United States Presidential Election Simulator",
|
||||||
|
shortname: "1864",
|
||||||
|
description: "The CalubViem Press has rewritten history and called the 1864 United States Presidential Election for $WINNER!",
|
||||||
|
svg: await readFile("assets/ElectoralCollege1864.svg", "utf-8"),
|
||||||
|
candidates: [
|
||||||
|
{
|
||||||
|
name: "Abraham Lincoln",
|
||||||
|
party: "National Union",
|
||||||
|
color: "#BF1D29",
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
{
|
||||||
|
name: "George B. McClellan",
|
||||||
|
party: "Democratic",
|
||||||
|
color: "#1C408C",
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
],
|
||||||
|
states: {
|
||||||
|
"CA": {
|
||||||
|
electoralVotes: 5,
|
||||||
|
odds: {
|
||||||
|
"National Union": 0.7,
|
||||||
|
"Democratic": 0.3,
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
"CT": {
|
||||||
|
electoralVotes: 6,
|
||||||
|
odds: {
|
||||||
|
"National Union": 0.6,
|
||||||
|
"Democratic": 0.4,
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
"DE": {
|
||||||
|
electoralVotes: 3,
|
||||||
|
odds: {
|
||||||
|
"National Union": 0.5,
|
||||||
|
"Democratic": 0.5,
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
"IA": {
|
||||||
|
electoralVotes: 8,
|
||||||
|
odds: {
|
||||||
|
"National Union": 0.95,
|
||||||
|
"Democratic": 0.05,
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
"IL": {
|
||||||
|
electoralVotes: 16,
|
||||||
|
odds: {
|
||||||
|
"National Union": 0.8,
|
||||||
|
"Democratic": 0.2,
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
"IN": {
|
||||||
|
electoralVotes: 13,
|
||||||
|
odds: {
|
||||||
|
"National Union": 0.6,
|
||||||
|
"Democratic": 0.4,
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
"KS": {
|
||||||
|
electoralVotes: 3,
|
||||||
|
odds: {
|
||||||
|
"National Union": 1,
|
||||||
|
"Democratic": 0,
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
"KY": {
|
||||||
|
electoralVotes: 11,
|
||||||
|
odds: {
|
||||||
|
"National Union": 0.2,
|
||||||
|
"Democratic": 0.8,
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
"LA": {
|
||||||
|
electoralVotes: 7,
|
||||||
|
odds: {
|
||||||
|
"National Union": 0.2,
|
||||||
|
"Democratic": 0.8,
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
"MA": {
|
||||||
|
electoralVotes: 12,
|
||||||
|
odds: {
|
||||||
|
"National Union": 1,
|
||||||
|
"Democratic": 0,
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
"MD": {
|
||||||
|
electoralVotes: 7,
|
||||||
|
odds: {
|
||||||
|
"National Union": 0.7,
|
||||||
|
"Democratic": 0.3,
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
"ME": {
|
||||||
|
electoralVotes: 7,
|
||||||
|
odds: {
|
||||||
|
"National Union": 0.9,
|
||||||
|
"Democratic": 0.1,
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
"MI": {
|
||||||
|
electoralVotes: 8,
|
||||||
|
odds: {
|
||||||
|
"National Union": 0.7,
|
||||||
|
"Democratic": 0.3,
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
"MN": {
|
||||||
|
electoralVotes: 4,
|
||||||
|
odds: {
|
||||||
|
"National Union": 0.8,
|
||||||
|
"Democratic": 0.2,
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
"MO": {
|
||||||
|
electoralVotes: 11,
|
||||||
|
odds: {
|
||||||
|
"National Union": 0.99,
|
||||||
|
"Democratic": 0.01,
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
"NH": {
|
||||||
|
electoralVotes: 5,
|
||||||
|
odds: {
|
||||||
|
"National Union": 0.6,
|
||||||
|
"Democratic": 0.4,
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
"NV": {
|
||||||
|
electoralVotes: 2,
|
||||||
|
odds: {
|
||||||
|
"National Union": 0.9,
|
||||||
|
"Democratic": 0.1,
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
"NJ": {
|
||||||
|
electoralVotes: 7,
|
||||||
|
odds: {
|
||||||
|
"National Union": 0.4,
|
||||||
|
"Democratic": 0.6,
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
"NY": {
|
||||||
|
electoralVotes: 33,
|
||||||
|
odds: {
|
||||||
|
"National Union": 0.55,
|
||||||
|
"Democratic": 0.45,
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
"OH": {
|
||||||
|
electoralVotes: 21,
|
||||||
|
odds: {
|
||||||
|
"National Union": 0.7,
|
||||||
|
"Democratic": 0.3,
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
"OR": {
|
||||||
|
electoralVotes: 3,
|
||||||
|
odds: {
|
||||||
|
"National Union": 0.7,
|
||||||
|
"Democratic": 0.3,
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
"PA": {
|
||||||
|
electoralVotes: 26,
|
||||||
|
odds: {
|
||||||
|
"National Union": 0.6,
|
||||||
|
"Democratic": 0.4,
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
"RI": {
|
||||||
|
electoralVotes: 4,
|
||||||
|
odds: {
|
||||||
|
"National Union": 0.95,
|
||||||
|
"Democratic": 0.05,
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
"TN": {
|
||||||
|
electoralVotes: 10,
|
||||||
|
odds: {
|
||||||
|
"National Union": 1,
|
||||||
|
"Democratic": 0,
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
"VT": {
|
||||||
|
electoralVotes: 5,
|
||||||
|
odds: {
|
||||||
|
"National Union": 1,
|
||||||
|
"Democratic": 0,
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
"WI": {
|
||||||
|
electoralVotes: 8,
|
||||||
|
odds: {
|
||||||
|
"National Union": 0.7,
|
||||||
|
"Democratic": 0.3,
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
"WV": {
|
||||||
|
electoralVotes: 5,
|
||||||
|
odds: {
|
||||||
|
"National Union": 0.99,
|
||||||
|
"Democratic": 0.01,
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
export default Presidential_1864 as Election;
|
403
src/elections/2024.ts
Normal file
403
src/elections/2024.ts
Normal file
|
@ -0,0 +1,403 @@
|
||||||
|
import { readFile } from "node:fs/promises";
|
||||||
|
import Election from "../election.js";
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
const Presidential_2024 = {
|
||||||
|
title: "2024 United States Presidential Election Simulator",
|
||||||
|
shortname: "2024",
|
||||||
|
description: "The CalubViem Press has called the 2024 United States Presidential Election for $WINNER!",
|
||||||
|
svg: await readFile("assets/ElectoralCollege2024.svg", "utf-8"),
|
||||||
|
candidates: [
|
||||||
|
{
|
||||||
|
name: "Joseph R. Biden Jr.",
|
||||||
|
party: "Democratic",
|
||||||
|
color: "#1C408C",
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
{
|
||||||
|
name: "Donald J. Trump",
|
||||||
|
party: "Republican",
|
||||||
|
color: "#BF1D29",
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
],
|
||||||
|
states: {
|
||||||
|
"AL": {
|
||||||
|
electoralVotes: 9,
|
||||||
|
odds: {
|
||||||
|
"Republican": 1,
|
||||||
|
"Democratic": 0,
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
"AK": {
|
||||||
|
electoralVotes: 3,
|
||||||
|
odds: {
|
||||||
|
"Republican": 1,
|
||||||
|
"Democratic": 0,
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
"AZ": {
|
||||||
|
electoralVotes: 11,
|
||||||
|
odds: {
|
||||||
|
"Republican": 0.5,
|
||||||
|
"Democratic": 0.5,
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
"AR": {
|
||||||
|
electoralVotes: 6,
|
||||||
|
odds: {
|
||||||
|
"Republican": 1,
|
||||||
|
"Democratic": 0,
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
"CA": {
|
||||||
|
electoralVotes: 54,
|
||||||
|
odds: {
|
||||||
|
"Republican": 0,
|
||||||
|
"Democratic": 1,
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
"CO": {
|
||||||
|
electoralVotes: 10,
|
||||||
|
odds: {
|
||||||
|
"Republican": 0,
|
||||||
|
"Democratic": 1,
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
"CT": {
|
||||||
|
electoralVotes: 7,
|
||||||
|
odds: {
|
||||||
|
"Republican": 0,
|
||||||
|
"Democratic": 1,
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
"DE": {
|
||||||
|
electoralVotes: 3,
|
||||||
|
odds: {
|
||||||
|
"Republican": 0,
|
||||||
|
"Democratic": 1,
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
"DC": {
|
||||||
|
electoralVotes: 3,
|
||||||
|
odds: {
|
||||||
|
"Republican": 0,
|
||||||
|
"Democratic": 1,
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
"FL": {
|
||||||
|
electoralVotes: 30,
|
||||||
|
odds: {
|
||||||
|
"Republican": 0.6,
|
||||||
|
"Democratic": 0.4,
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
"GA": {
|
||||||
|
electoralVotes: 16,
|
||||||
|
odds: {
|
||||||
|
"Republican": 0.5,
|
||||||
|
"Democratic": 0.5,
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
"HI": {
|
||||||
|
electoralVotes: 4,
|
||||||
|
odds: {
|
||||||
|
"Republican": 0,
|
||||||
|
"Democratic": 1,
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
"ID": {
|
||||||
|
electoralVotes: 4,
|
||||||
|
odds: {
|
||||||
|
"Republican": 1,
|
||||||
|
"Democratic": 0,
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
"IL": {
|
||||||
|
electoralVotes: 19,
|
||||||
|
odds: {
|
||||||
|
"Republican": 0,
|
||||||
|
"Democratic": 1,
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
"IN": {
|
||||||
|
electoralVotes: 11,
|
||||||
|
odds: {
|
||||||
|
"Republican": 1,
|
||||||
|
"Democratic": 0,
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
"IA": {
|
||||||
|
electoralVotes: 6,
|
||||||
|
odds: {
|
||||||
|
"Republican": 0.8,
|
||||||
|
"Democratic": 0.2,
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
"KS": {
|
||||||
|
electoralVotes: 6,
|
||||||
|
odds: {
|
||||||
|
"Republican": 1,
|
||||||
|
"Democratic": 0,
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
"KY": {
|
||||||
|
electoralVotes: 8,
|
||||||
|
odds: {
|
||||||
|
"Republican": 1,
|
||||||
|
"Democratic": 0,
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
"LA": {
|
||||||
|
electoralVotes: 8,
|
||||||
|
odds: {
|
||||||
|
"Republican": 1,
|
||||||
|
"Democratic": 0,
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
"ME": {
|
||||||
|
electoralVotes: 2,
|
||||||
|
odds: {
|
||||||
|
"Republican": 0.2,
|
||||||
|
"Democratic": 0.8,
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
"ME-01": {
|
||||||
|
electoralVotes: 1,
|
||||||
|
odds: {
|
||||||
|
"Republican": 0,
|
||||||
|
"Democratic": 1,
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
"ME-02": {
|
||||||
|
electoralVotes: 1,
|
||||||
|
odds: {
|
||||||
|
"Republican": 0.8,
|
||||||
|
"Democratic": 0.2,
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
"MD": {
|
||||||
|
electoralVotes: 10,
|
||||||
|
odds: {
|
||||||
|
"Republican": 0,
|
||||||
|
"Democratic": 1,
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
"MA": {
|
||||||
|
electoralVotes: 11,
|
||||||
|
odds: {
|
||||||
|
"Republican": 0,
|
||||||
|
"Democratic": 1,
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
"MI": {
|
||||||
|
electoralVotes: 15,
|
||||||
|
odds: {
|
||||||
|
"Republican": 0.5,
|
||||||
|
"Democratic": 0.5,
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
"MN": {
|
||||||
|
electoralVotes: 10,
|
||||||
|
odds: {
|
||||||
|
"Republican": 0.4,
|
||||||
|
"Democratic": 0.6,
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
"MS": {
|
||||||
|
electoralVotes: 6,
|
||||||
|
odds: {
|
||||||
|
"Republican": 1,
|
||||||
|
"Democratic": 0,
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
"MO": {
|
||||||
|
electoralVotes: 10,
|
||||||
|
odds: {
|
||||||
|
"Republican": 1,
|
||||||
|
"Democratic": 0,
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
"MT": {
|
||||||
|
electoralVotes: 4,
|
||||||
|
odds: {
|
||||||
|
"Republican": 1,
|
||||||
|
"Democratic": 0,
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
"NE": {
|
||||||
|
electoralVotes: 4,
|
||||||
|
odds: {
|
||||||
|
"Republican": 1,
|
||||||
|
"Democratic": 0,
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
"NE-02": {
|
||||||
|
electoralVotes: 1,
|
||||||
|
odds: {
|
||||||
|
"Republican": 0.55,
|
||||||
|
"Democratic": 0.45,
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
"NV": {
|
||||||
|
electoralVotes: 6,
|
||||||
|
odds: {
|
||||||
|
"Republican": 0.5,
|
||||||
|
"Democratic": 0.5,
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
"NH": {
|
||||||
|
electoralVotes: 4,
|
||||||
|
odds: {
|
||||||
|
"Republican": 0.4,
|
||||||
|
"Democratic": 0.6,
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
"NJ": {
|
||||||
|
electoralVotes: 14,
|
||||||
|
odds: {
|
||||||
|
"Republican": 0,
|
||||||
|
"Democratic": 1,
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
"NM": {
|
||||||
|
electoralVotes: 5,
|
||||||
|
odds: {
|
||||||
|
"Republican": 0,
|
||||||
|
"Democratic": 1,
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
"NY": {
|
||||||
|
electoralVotes: 28,
|
||||||
|
odds: {
|
||||||
|
"Republican": 0,
|
||||||
|
"Democratic": 1,
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
"NC": {
|
||||||
|
electoralVotes: 16,
|
||||||
|
odds: {
|
||||||
|
"Republican": 0.55,
|
||||||
|
"Democratic": 0.45,
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
"ND": {
|
||||||
|
electoralVotes: 3,
|
||||||
|
odds: {
|
||||||
|
"Republican": 1,
|
||||||
|
"Democratic": 0,
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
"OH": {
|
||||||
|
electoralVotes: 17,
|
||||||
|
odds: {
|
||||||
|
"Republican": 0.8,
|
||||||
|
"Democratic": 0.2,
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
"OK": {
|
||||||
|
electoralVotes: 7,
|
||||||
|
odds: {
|
||||||
|
"Republican": 1,
|
||||||
|
"Democratic": 0,
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
"OR": {
|
||||||
|
electoralVotes: 8,
|
||||||
|
odds: {
|
||||||
|
"Republican": 0,
|
||||||
|
"Democratic": 1,
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
"PA": {
|
||||||
|
electoralVotes: 19,
|
||||||
|
odds: {
|
||||||
|
"Republican": 0.5,
|
||||||
|
"Democratic": 0.5,
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
"RI": {
|
||||||
|
electoralVotes: 4,
|
||||||
|
odds: {
|
||||||
|
"Republican": 0,
|
||||||
|
"Democratic": 1,
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
"SC": {
|
||||||
|
electoralVotes: 9,
|
||||||
|
odds: {
|
||||||
|
"Republican": 1,
|
||||||
|
"Democratic": 0,
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
"SD": {
|
||||||
|
electoralVotes: 3,
|
||||||
|
odds: {
|
||||||
|
"Republican": 1,
|
||||||
|
"Democratic": 0,
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
"TN": {
|
||||||
|
electoralVotes: 11,
|
||||||
|
odds: {
|
||||||
|
"Republican": 1,
|
||||||
|
"Democratic": 0,
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
"TX": {
|
||||||
|
electoralVotes: 40,
|
||||||
|
odds: {
|
||||||
|
"Republican": 0.8,
|
||||||
|
"Democratic": 0.2,
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
"UT": {
|
||||||
|
electoralVotes: 6,
|
||||||
|
odds: {
|
||||||
|
"Republican": 1,
|
||||||
|
"Democratic": 0,
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
"VT": {
|
||||||
|
electoralVotes: 3,
|
||||||
|
odds: {
|
||||||
|
"Republican": 0,
|
||||||
|
"Democratic": 1,
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
"VA": {
|
||||||
|
electoralVotes: 13,
|
||||||
|
odds: {
|
||||||
|
"Republican": 0.2,
|
||||||
|
"Democratic": 0.8,
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
"WA": {
|
||||||
|
electoralVotes: 12,
|
||||||
|
odds: {
|
||||||
|
"Republican": 0,
|
||||||
|
"Democratic": 1,
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
"WV": {
|
||||||
|
electoralVotes: 4,
|
||||||
|
odds: {
|
||||||
|
"Republican": 1,
|
||||||
|
"Democratic": 0,
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
"WI": {
|
||||||
|
electoralVotes: 10,
|
||||||
|
odds: {
|
||||||
|
"Republican": 0.5,
|
||||||
|
"Democratic": 0.5,
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
"WY": {
|
||||||
|
electoralVotes: 3,
|
||||||
|
odds: {
|
||||||
|
"Republican": 1,
|
||||||
|
"Democratic": 0,
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
export default Presidential_2024 as Election;
|
10
src/elections/elections.ts
Normal file
10
src/elections/elections.ts
Normal file
|
@ -0,0 +1,10 @@
|
||||||
|
import Election from "../election.js";
|
||||||
|
import Presidential_1864 from "./1864.js";
|
||||||
|
import Presidential_2024 from "./2024.js";
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
const Elections = {
|
||||||
|
"1864": Presidential_1864,
|
||||||
|
"2024": Presidential_2024
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
export default (Elections as {[key : string] : Election})
|
101
src/index.ts
101
src/index.ts
|
@ -1,7 +1,10 @@
|
||||||
import {REST, Routes, Client, GatewayIntentBits, CommandInteraction, EmbedBuilder } from "discord.js";
|
import {REST, Routes, Client, GatewayIntentBits, CommandInteraction, EmbedBuilder, CommandInteractionOption, CommandInteractionOptionResolver } from "discord.js";
|
||||||
import * as fs from "node:fs";
|
import * as fs from "node:fs";
|
||||||
import commands from "./commands.js";
|
import commands from "./commands.js";
|
||||||
import {MakePrediction} from "./predictor.js";
|
import {MakePrediction} from "./predictor.js";
|
||||||
|
import Election from "./election.js";
|
||||||
|
import Presidential_2024 from "./elections/2024.js";
|
||||||
|
import Elections from "./elections/elections.js";
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
const configraw = fs.readFileSync("config.json", "utf-8");
|
const configraw = fs.readFileSync("config.json", "utf-8");
|
||||||
const config = JSON.parse(configraw);
|
const config = JSON.parse(configraw);
|
||||||
|
@ -31,59 +34,57 @@ if (!config.token) {
|
||||||
await i.reply(`Biden Approval Rating\n\n${polls}`);
|
await i.reply(`Biden Approval Rating\n\n${polls}`);
|
||||||
break;
|
break;
|
||||||
case "simulate":
|
case "simulate":
|
||||||
var simulationtype = i.options.get('type')?.value as string || "presidential";
|
var electionname = (i.options as CommandInteractionOptionResolver).getSubcommand();
|
||||||
var year = Number(i.options.get('year')?.value);
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
switch(simulationtype) {
|
var election = structuredClone(Elections[electionname]);
|
||||||
case "presidential":
|
for (const candidate of election.candidates) {
|
||||||
if (year == 1864) {
|
var option = (i.options as CommandInteractionOptionResolver).getString(candidate.party.toLowerCase().replace(/ /g, "_") + "_candidate");
|
||||||
var gopcandidate = i.options.get('gopcandidate')?.value as string || "Abraham Lincoln";
|
if (option) {
|
||||||
var demcandidate = i.options.get('demcandidate')?.value as string || "George B. McClellan";
|
candidate.name = option;
|
||||||
var result = await MakePrediction(Number(i.options.get('bias')?.value), gopcandidate, demcandidate, simulationtype, Number(i.options.get('year')?.value));
|
}
|
||||||
var embed = new EmbedBuilder()
|
var bias = (i.options as CommandInteractionOptionResolver).getNumber(candidate.party.toLowerCase().replace(/ /g, "_") + "_bias");
|
||||||
.setTitle("1864 United States Presidential Election Simulator")
|
if (bias) {
|
||||||
.setDescription(`The CalubViem Press has rewritten history, and has called the 1864 United States Presidential Election for ${result.winner}!`)
|
for (const state of Object.keys(election.states)) {
|
||||||
.addFields(
|
election.states[state].odds[candidate.party] += bias;
|
||||||
{name: `${result.winner === gopcandidate ? ":white_check_mark:" : ""} ${gopcandidate}`, value: `${result.gopVotes} Electoral Votes`, inline: true},
|
}
|
||||||
{name: `${result.winner === demcandidate ? ":white_check_mark:" : ""} ${demcandidate}`, value: `${result.demVotes} Electoral Votes`, inline: true},
|
|
||||||
)
|
|
||||||
.setImage("attachment://election.png")
|
|
||||||
.setTimestamp();
|
|
||||||
await i.reply({embeds: [embed], files: [{attachment: result.png, name: "election.png"}]});
|
|
||||||
break;
|
|
||||||
} else {
|
|
||||||
var gopcandidate = i.options.get('gopcandidate')?.value as string || "Donald J. Trump";
|
|
||||||
var demcandidate = i.options.get('demcandidate')?.value as string || "Joseph R. Biden Jr.";
|
|
||||||
var result = await MakePrediction(Number(i.options.get('bias')?.value), gopcandidate, demcandidate, simulationtype, Number(i.options.get('year')?.value));
|
|
||||||
var embed = new EmbedBuilder()
|
|
||||||
.setTitle("2024 United States Presidential Election Simulator")
|
|
||||||
.setDescription(`The CalubViem Press has called the 2024 United States Presidential Election for ${result.winner}!`)
|
|
||||||
.addFields(
|
|
||||||
{name: `${result.winner === gopcandidate ? ":white_check_mark:" : ""} ${gopcandidate}`, value: `${result.gopVotes} Electoral Votes`, inline: true},
|
|
||||||
{name: `${result.winner === demcandidate ? ":white_check_mark:" : ""} ${demcandidate}`, value: `${result.demVotes} Electoral Votes`, inline: true},
|
|
||||||
)
|
|
||||||
.setImage("attachment://election.png")
|
|
||||||
.setTimestamp();
|
|
||||||
await i.reply({embeds: [embed], files: [{attachment: result.png, name: "election.png"}]});
|
|
||||||
break;
|
|
||||||
}
|
}
|
||||||
case "senate":
|
|
||||||
var gopcandidate = i.options.get('gopcandidate')?.value as string || "Republicans";
|
|
||||||
var demcandidate = i.options.get('demcandidate')?.value as string || "Democrats";
|
|
||||||
var result = await MakePrediction(Number(i.options.get('bias')?.value), gopcandidate, demcandidate, simulationtype, 0);
|
|
||||||
var embed = new EmbedBuilder()
|
|
||||||
.setTitle("2024 United States Senate Simulator")
|
|
||||||
.setDescription(`The CalubViem Press has called the 2024 United States Senate for ${result.winner}!`)
|
|
||||||
.addFields(
|
|
||||||
{name: `${result.winner === gopcandidate ? ":white_check_mark:" : ""} ${gopcandidate}`, value: `${result.gopVotes} seats`, inline: true},
|
|
||||||
{name: `${result.winner === demcandidate ? ":white_check_mark:" : ""} ${demcandidate}`, value: `${result.demVotes} seats`, inline: true},
|
|
||||||
)
|
|
||||||
.setImage("attachment://election.png")
|
|
||||||
.setTimestamp();
|
|
||||||
await i.reply({embeds: [embed], files: [{attachment: result.png, name: "election.png"}]});
|
|
||||||
break;
|
|
||||||
}
|
}
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
var newcandidate = (i.options as CommandInteractionOptionResolver).getString("add_candidate");
|
||||||
|
if (newcandidate) {
|
||||||
|
var party = (i.options as CommandInteractionOptionResolver).getString("with_party") || "Independent";
|
||||||
|
var color = (i.options as CommandInteractionOptionResolver).getString("with_color") || "#bfab22";
|
||||||
|
var odds = (i.options as CommandInteractionOptionResolver).getNumber("with_odds") || 0.33;
|
||||||
|
if (!/^#[0-9A-Fa-f]{3,6}$/.test(color)) {
|
||||||
|
await i.reply("Please provide a valid hex color code");
|
||||||
|
return;
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
if (election.candidates.some(c => c.party === party || c.name === newcandidate)) {
|
||||||
|
await i.reply("A candidate with that name or party already exists");
|
||||||
|
return
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
election.candidates.push({
|
||||||
|
name: newcandidate,
|
||||||
|
party: party,
|
||||||
|
color: color
|
||||||
|
});
|
||||||
|
for (const state of Object.keys(election.states))
|
||||||
|
election.states[state].odds[party] = odds;
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
var result = await MakePrediction(election);
|
||||||
|
var embed = new EmbedBuilder()
|
||||||
|
.setTitle(election.title)
|
||||||
|
.setDescription(election.description.replace("$WINNER", result.winner))
|
||||||
|
.addFields(result.candidates.map(c => {
|
||||||
|
return {
|
||||||
|
name: `${(result.winner === c.name ? ":white_check_mark:" : "")} ${c.name} (${c.party})`,
|
||||||
|
value: `${c.votes} Electoral Votes`,
|
||||||
|
inline: true
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
}))
|
||||||
|
.setImage("attachment://election.png")
|
||||||
|
.setTimestamp();
|
||||||
|
await i.reply({embeds: [embed], files: [{attachment: result.png, name: "election.png"}]});
|
||||||
}
|
}
|
||||||
}
|
}
|
||||||
});
|
});
|
||||||
|
|
236
src/numbers.ts
236
src/numbers.ts
|
@ -1,236 +0,0 @@
|
||||||
const GOP_WIN_ODDS = {
|
|
||||||
// Data from https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/president
|
|
||||||
// Toss-up
|
|
||||||
"AZ": 0.5,
|
|
||||||
"GA": 0.5,
|
|
||||||
"MI": 0.5,
|
|
||||||
"NV": 0.5,
|
|
||||||
"PA": 0.5,
|
|
||||||
"WI": 0.5,
|
|
||||||
// Lean D
|
|
||||||
"MN": 0.4,
|
|
||||||
"NH": 0.4,
|
|
||||||
// Likely D
|
|
||||||
"ME": 0.2,
|
|
||||||
"VA": 0.2,
|
|
||||||
// Solid D
|
|
||||||
"CA": 0,
|
|
||||||
"CO": 0,
|
|
||||||
"CT": 0,
|
|
||||||
"DC": 0,
|
|
||||||
"DE": 0,
|
|
||||||
"HI": 0,
|
|
||||||
"IL": 0,
|
|
||||||
"MA": 0,
|
|
||||||
"MD": 0,
|
|
||||||
"NJ": 0,
|
|
||||||
"NM": 0,
|
|
||||||
"NY": 0,
|
|
||||||
"OR": 0,
|
|
||||||
"RI": 0,
|
|
||||||
"VT": 0,
|
|
||||||
"WA": 0,
|
|
||||||
"ME-01": 0,
|
|
||||||
// Tilt R
|
|
||||||
"NC": 0.55,
|
|
||||||
"NE-02": 0.55,
|
|
||||||
// Lean R
|
|
||||||
"FL": 0.6,
|
|
||||||
// Likely R
|
|
||||||
"IA": 0.8,
|
|
||||||
"OH": 0.8,
|
|
||||||
"TX": 0.8,
|
|
||||||
"ME-02": 0.8,
|
|
||||||
// Solid R
|
|
||||||
"AK": 1,
|
|
||||||
"AL": 1,
|
|
||||||
"AR": 1,
|
|
||||||
"ID": 1,
|
|
||||||
"IN": 1,
|
|
||||||
"KS": 1,
|
|
||||||
"KY": 1,
|
|
||||||
"LA": 1,
|
|
||||||
"MO": 1,
|
|
||||||
"MS": 1,
|
|
||||||
"MT": 1,
|
|
||||||
"NE": 1,
|
|
||||||
"ND": 1,
|
|
||||||
"OK": 1,
|
|
||||||
"SC": 1,
|
|
||||||
"SD": 1,
|
|
||||||
"TN": 1,
|
|
||||||
"UT": 1,
|
|
||||||
"WV": 1,
|
|
||||||
"WY": 1
|
|
||||||
};
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
const GOP_WIN_ODDS_1864 = {
|
|
||||||
// Solid R
|
|
||||||
"TN": 1,
|
|
||||||
"KS": 1,
|
|
||||||
"VT": 1,
|
|
||||||
"MA": 1,
|
|
||||||
// Likely R
|
|
||||||
"MO": 0.99,
|
|
||||||
"WV": 0.99,
|
|
||||||
"IA": 0.95,
|
|
||||||
"RI": 0.95,
|
|
||||||
"NV": 0.9,
|
|
||||||
"ME": 0.9,
|
|
||||||
"IL": 0.8,
|
|
||||||
"MN": 0.8,
|
|
||||||
"CA": 0.7,
|
|
||||||
"OH": 0.7,
|
|
||||||
"WI": 0.7,
|
|
||||||
"MD": 0.7,
|
|
||||||
"OR": 0.7,
|
|
||||||
"MI": 0.7,
|
|
||||||
"IN": 0.6,
|
|
||||||
"NH": 0.6,
|
|
||||||
"PA": 0.6,
|
|
||||||
"CT": 0.6,
|
|
||||||
"NY": 0.55,
|
|
||||||
"DE": 0.5,
|
|
||||||
// Likely D
|
|
||||||
"NJ": 0.4,
|
|
||||||
"KY": 0.2,
|
|
||||||
"LA": 0.2
|
|
||||||
};
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
const GOP_WIN_ODDS_SENATE = {
|
|
||||||
// Data from https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/senate
|
|
||||||
// Toss-up
|
|
||||||
"MT": 0.5,
|
|
||||||
"OH": 0.5,
|
|
||||||
// Tilt D
|
|
||||||
"AZ": 0.4,
|
|
||||||
"MI": 0.4,
|
|
||||||
"NV": 0.4,
|
|
||||||
"PA": 0.4,
|
|
||||||
// Lean D
|
|
||||||
"WI": 0.3,
|
|
||||||
// Likely D
|
|
||||||
"MD": 0.2,
|
|
||||||
// Solid D
|
|
||||||
"CA": 0,
|
|
||||||
"CT": 0,
|
|
||||||
"DE": 0,
|
|
||||||
"HI": 0,
|
|
||||||
"MA": 0,
|
|
||||||
"ME": 0,
|
|
||||||
"MN": 0,
|
|
||||||
"NJ": 0,
|
|
||||||
"NM": 0,
|
|
||||||
"NY": 0,
|
|
||||||
"RI": 0,
|
|
||||||
"VA": 0,
|
|
||||||
"VT": 0,
|
|
||||||
"WA": 0,
|
|
||||||
// Likely R
|
|
||||||
"TX": 0.8,
|
|
||||||
// Solid R
|
|
||||||
"FL": 1,
|
|
||||||
"IN": 1,
|
|
||||||
"MO": 1,
|
|
||||||
"MS": 1,
|
|
||||||
"ND": 1,
|
|
||||||
"NE": 1,
|
|
||||||
"NE-02": 1,
|
|
||||||
"TN": 1,
|
|
||||||
"UT": 1,
|
|
||||||
"WV": 1,
|
|
||||||
"WY": 1
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
const ELECTORAL_COLLEGE = {
|
|
||||||
"AL": 9,
|
|
||||||
"AK": 3,
|
|
||||||
"AZ": 11,
|
|
||||||
"AR": 6,
|
|
||||||
"CA": 54,
|
|
||||||
"CO": 10,
|
|
||||||
"CT": 7,
|
|
||||||
"DE": 3,
|
|
||||||
"DC": 3,
|
|
||||||
"FL": 30,
|
|
||||||
"GA": 16,
|
|
||||||
"HI": 4,
|
|
||||||
"ID": 4,
|
|
||||||
"IL": 19,
|
|
||||||
"IN": 11,
|
|
||||||
"IA": 6,
|
|
||||||
"KS": 6,
|
|
||||||
"KY": 8,
|
|
||||||
"LA": 8,
|
|
||||||
"ME": 2,
|
|
||||||
"ME-01": 1,
|
|
||||||
"ME-02": 1,
|
|
||||||
"MD": 10,
|
|
||||||
"MA": 11,
|
|
||||||
"MI": 15,
|
|
||||||
"MN": 10,
|
|
||||||
"MS": 6,
|
|
||||||
"MO": 10,
|
|
||||||
"MT": 4,
|
|
||||||
"NE": 4,
|
|
||||||
"NE-02": 1,
|
|
||||||
"NV": 6,
|
|
||||||
"NH": 4,
|
|
||||||
"NJ": 14,
|
|
||||||
"NM": 5,
|
|
||||||
"NY": 28,
|
|
||||||
"NC": 16,
|
|
||||||
"ND": 3,
|
|
||||||
"OH": 17,
|
|
||||||
"OK": 7,
|
|
||||||
"OR": 8,
|
|
||||||
"PA": 19,
|
|
||||||
"RI": 4,
|
|
||||||
"SC": 9,
|
|
||||||
"SD": 3,
|
|
||||||
"TN": 11,
|
|
||||||
"TX": 40,
|
|
||||||
"UT": 6,
|
|
||||||
"VT": 3,
|
|
||||||
"VA": 13,
|
|
||||||
"WA": 12,
|
|
||||||
"WV": 4,
|
|
||||||
"WI": 10,
|
|
||||||
"WY": 3
|
|
||||||
};
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
const ELECTORAL_COLLEGE_1864 = {
|
|
||||||
"CA": 5,
|
|
||||||
"CT": 6,
|
|
||||||
"DE": 3,
|
|
||||||
"IA": 8,
|
|
||||||
"IL": 16,
|
|
||||||
"IN": 13,
|
|
||||||
"KS": 3,
|
|
||||||
"KY": 11,
|
|
||||||
"LA": 7,
|
|
||||||
"MA": 12,
|
|
||||||
"MD": 7,
|
|
||||||
"ME": 7,
|
|
||||||
"MI": 8,
|
|
||||||
"MN": 4,
|
|
||||||
"MO": 11,
|
|
||||||
"NH": 5,
|
|
||||||
"NV": 2,
|
|
||||||
"NJ": 7,
|
|
||||||
"NY": 33,
|
|
||||||
"OH": 21,
|
|
||||||
"OR": 3,
|
|
||||||
"PA": 26,
|
|
||||||
"RI": 4,
|
|
||||||
"TN": 10,
|
|
||||||
"VT": 5,
|
|
||||||
"WI": 8,
|
|
||||||
"WV": 5
|
|
||||||
};
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
export const ElectoralCollege = ELECTORAL_COLLEGE;
|
|
||||||
export const ElectoralCollege1864 = ELECTORAL_COLLEGE_1864;
|
|
||||||
export const GOPWinOddsSenate = GOP_WIN_ODDS_SENATE;
|
|
||||||
export const GOPWinOdds1864 = GOP_WIN_ODDS_1864;
|
|
||||||
export const GOPWinOdds = GOP_WIN_ODDS;
|
|
148
src/predictor.ts
148
src/predictor.ts
|
@ -1,134 +1,70 @@
|
||||||
import { ElectoralCollege, ElectoralCollege1864, GOPWinOdds, GOPWinOdds1864, GOPWinOddsSenate } from "./numbers.js";
|
|
||||||
import { createSVGWindow } from 'svgdom'
|
import { createSVGWindow } from 'svgdom'
|
||||||
import { SVG, registerWindow } from '@svgdotjs/svg.js'
|
import { SVG, registerWindow } from '@svgdotjs/svg.js'
|
||||||
import * as fs from "node:fs/promises";
|
|
||||||
import sharp from "sharp";
|
import sharp from "sharp";
|
||||||
import crypto from "crypto";
|
import crypto from "crypto";
|
||||||
|
import Election from "./election.js";
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
const BASE_SVG = await fs.readFile("assets/ElectoralCollege2024.svg", "utf-8");
|
export function MakePrediction(election : Election) : Promise<Prediction> {
|
||||||
const BASE_SVG_1864 = await fs.readFile("assets/ElectoralCollege1864.svg", "utf-8");
|
|
||||||
const BASE_SVG_SENATE = await fs.readFile("assets/SenateMap2024.svg", "utf-8");
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
export function MakePrediction(bias : number, gopcandidate : string, demcandidate : string, simulationtype : string, year : number) : Promise<Prediction> {
|
|
||||||
return new Promise(async res => {
|
return new Promise(async res => {
|
||||||
if (Number.isNaN(bias)) bias = 0;
|
|
||||||
const window = createSVGWindow();
|
const window = createSVGWindow();
|
||||||
registerWindow(window, window.document);
|
registerWindow(window, window.document);
|
||||||
var election = {} as any;
|
var draw = SVG(window.document.documentElement);
|
||||||
var gopVotes = 0;
|
draw.svg(election.svg);
|
||||||
var demVotes = 0;
|
var pred = {} as any;
|
||||||
|
pred.candidates = [];
|
||||||
|
for (var candidate of election.candidates) {
|
||||||
|
pred.candidates.push({
|
||||||
|
name: candidate.name,
|
||||||
|
party: candidate.party,
|
||||||
|
votes: 0,
|
||||||
|
});
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
switch (simulationtype) {
|
for (const state of Object.keys(election.states)) {
|
||||||
case "presidential":
|
var winner = await weightedRand(election.states[state].odds);
|
||||||
if(year == 1864) {
|
pred.candidates.find((c : any) => c.party === winner).votes += election.states[state].electoralVotes;
|
||||||
var draw = SVG(window.document.documentElement);
|
|
||||||
draw.svg(BASE_SVG_1864);
|
|
||||||
for (const state of Object.keys(ElectoralCollege1864)) {
|
|
||||||
if ((GOPWinOdds1864 as any)[state] >= bias + await betterRandom()) {
|
|
||||||
election[state] = "R";
|
|
||||||
gopVotes += (ElectoralCollege1864 as any)[state];
|
|
||||||
// @ts-ignore
|
// @ts-ignore
|
||||||
draw.find(`#${state}`).fill("#BF1D29");
|
draw.find(`#${state}`).fill(election.candidates.find((c : any) => c.party === winner).color);
|
||||||
}
|
}
|
||||||
else {
|
|
||||||
election[state] = "D";
|
|
||||||
demVotes += (ElectoralCollege1864 as any)[state];
|
|
||||||
// @ts-ignore
|
|
||||||
draw.find(`#${state}`).fill("#1C408C");
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
};
|
|
||||||
var s = sharp(Buffer.from(draw.svg()));
|
|
||||||
var png = await s.png().toBuffer();
|
|
||||||
res({
|
|
||||||
gopVotes,
|
|
||||||
demVotes,
|
|
||||||
gopCandidate: gopcandidate,
|
|
||||||
demCandidate: demcandidate,
|
|
||||||
winner: gopVotes > demVotes ? gopcandidate : demcandidate,
|
|
||||||
svg: draw.svg(),
|
|
||||||
png,
|
|
||||||
});
|
|
||||||
break;
|
|
||||||
} else {
|
|
||||||
var draw = SVG(window.document.documentElement);
|
|
||||||
draw.svg(BASE_SVG);
|
|
||||||
for (const state of Object.keys(ElectoralCollege)) {
|
|
||||||
if ((GOPWinOdds as any)[state] >= bias + await betterRandom()) {
|
|
||||||
election[state] = "R";
|
|
||||||
gopVotes += (ElectoralCollege as any)[state];
|
|
||||||
// @ts-ignore
|
|
||||||
draw.find(`#${state}`).fill("#BF1D29");
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
else {
|
|
||||||
election[state] = "D";
|
|
||||||
demVotes += (ElectoralCollege as any)[state];
|
|
||||||
// @ts-ignore
|
|
||||||
draw.find(`#${state}`).fill("#1C408C");
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
};
|
|
||||||
var s = sharp(Buffer.from(draw.svg()));
|
|
||||||
var png = await s.png().toBuffer();
|
|
||||||
res({
|
|
||||||
gopVotes,
|
|
||||||
demVotes,
|
|
||||||
gopCandidate: gopcandidate,
|
|
||||||
demCandidate: demcandidate,
|
|
||||||
winner: gopVotes > demVotes ? gopcandidate : demcandidate,
|
|
||||||
svg: draw.svg(),
|
|
||||||
png,
|
|
||||||
});
|
|
||||||
break;
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
case "senate":
|
|
||||||
var draw = SVG(window.document.documentElement);
|
|
||||||
draw.svg(BASE_SVG_SENATE);
|
|
||||||
let senatestates = ["AZ", "CA", "CT", "DE", "FL", "HI", "IN", "MA", "MD", "ME", "MI", "MN",
|
|
||||||
"MO", "MS", "MT", "ND", "NE", "NE-02", "NJ", "NM", "NV", "NY", "OH", "PA", "RI", "TN", "TX",
|
|
||||||
"UT", "VA", "VT", "WA", "WI", "WV", "WY"];
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
for await (const state of senatestates) {
|
|
||||||
if ((GOPWinOddsSenate as any)[state] >= bias + await betterRandom()) {
|
|
||||||
election[state] = "R";
|
|
||||||
gopVotes += 1;
|
|
||||||
// @ts-ignore
|
|
||||||
draw.find(`#${state}`).fill("#BF1D29");
|
|
||||||
} else {
|
|
||||||
election[state] = "D";
|
|
||||||
demVotes += 1;
|
|
||||||
// @ts-ignore
|
|
||||||
draw.find(`#${state}`).fill("#1C408C");
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
var s = sharp(Buffer.from(draw.svg()));
|
var s = sharp(Buffer.from(draw.svg()));
|
||||||
var png = await s.png().toBuffer();
|
var png = await s.png().toBuffer();
|
||||||
res({
|
pred.winner = pred.candidates.sort((a : any, b : any) => b.votes - a.votes)[0].name;
|
||||||
gopVotes,
|
pred.svg = draw.svg();
|
||||||
demVotes,
|
pred.png = png;
|
||||||
gopCandidate: gopcandidate,
|
res(pred);
|
||||||
demCandidate: demcandidate,
|
|
||||||
winner: gopVotes > demVotes ? gopcandidate : demcandidate,
|
|
||||||
svg: draw.svg(),
|
|
||||||
png,
|
|
||||||
});
|
|
||||||
break;
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
});
|
});
|
||||||
}
|
}
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
export interface Prediction {
|
export interface Prediction {
|
||||||
gopVotes: number,
|
candidates : {
|
||||||
demVotes: number,
|
name : string,
|
||||||
gopCandidate: string,
|
party : string,
|
||||||
demCandidate: string,
|
votes : string,
|
||||||
|
}[],
|
||||||
winner: string,
|
winner: string,
|
||||||
svg: string,
|
svg: string,
|
||||||
png: Buffer,
|
png: Buffer,
|
||||||
}
|
}
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
export function betterRandom() : Promise<number> {
|
export function betterRandom(min : number, max : number) : Promise<number> {
|
||||||
return new Promise(res => {
|
return new Promise(res => {
|
||||||
crypto.randomBytes(4, (err, buf) => {
|
crypto.randomBytes(4, (err, buf) => {
|
||||||
res(buf.readUInt32BE(0) / 0x100000000);
|
if (err) throw err;
|
||||||
|
const random = buf.readUInt32LE(0) / 0x100000000;
|
||||||
|
res(Math.floor(min + random * (max - min)));
|
||||||
});
|
});
|
||||||
});
|
});
|
||||||
}
|
}
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
// https://stackoverflow.com/a/8435261
|
||||||
|
export async function weightedRand(spec : { [key : string] : number }) : Promise<string> {
|
||||||
|
var i, j, table = [];
|
||||||
|
for (i in spec) {
|
||||||
|
for (j = 0; j < spec[i] * 10; j++) {
|
||||||
|
table.push(i);
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
return table[await betterRandom(0, table.length)];
|
||||||
|
}
|
Loading…
Reference in a new issue