huge election predictor overhaul
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9 changed files with 1424 additions and 425 deletions
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<rect id="Dem" x="828" y="406" height="19" width="19" fill="#698DC5" stroke="#000000" stroke-width="0.8"/>
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<rect id="Rep" x="828" y="439" height="19" width="19" fill="#F07763" stroke="#000000" stroke-width="0.8"/>
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After Width: | Height: | Size: 36 KiB |
|
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@ -1,4 +1,5 @@
|
|||
import {ApplicationCommandOptionType} from "discord.js";
|
||||
import Elections from "./elections/elections.js";
|
||||
const commands = [
|
||||
{
|
||||
name: 'poll',
|
||||
|
|
@ -6,33 +7,54 @@ const commands = [
|
|||
},
|
||||
{
|
||||
name: 'simulate',
|
||||
description: "Simulate the 2024 United States Presidential Election",
|
||||
description: "Simulate an election",
|
||||
options: [
|
||||
{
|
||||
name: 'bias',
|
||||
description: 'Adds a bias to a certain candidate. Use a positive number for Biden bias, negative for Trump bias',
|
||||
type: ApplicationCommandOptionType.Number,
|
||||
name: 'election',
|
||||
description: 'The election to simulate',
|
||||
type: ApplicationCommandOptionType.SubcommandGroup,
|
||||
options: Object.keys(Elections).map(e => {
|
||||
return {
|
||||
name: e,
|
||||
description: Elections[e].title,
|
||||
type: ApplicationCommandOptionType.Subcommand,
|
||||
options: [
|
||||
{
|
||||
name: 'add_candidate',
|
||||
description: 'Add a candidate to the election',
|
||||
type: ApplicationCommandOptionType.String,
|
||||
},
|
||||
{
|
||||
name: 'with_party',
|
||||
description: 'The party of the candidate to add',
|
||||
type: ApplicationCommandOptionType.String,
|
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},
|
||||
{
|
||||
name: 'with_color',
|
||||
description: 'Hex color of the candidate to add',
|
||||
type: ApplicationCommandOptionType.String
|
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},
|
||||
{
|
||||
name: 'with_odds',
|
||||
description: 'The odds of the candidate to win in any state',
|
||||
type: ApplicationCommandOptionType.Number
|
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},
|
||||
...Elections[e].candidates.flatMap(c => [
|
||||
{
|
||||
name: c.party.toLowerCase().replace(/ /g, "_") + "_candidate",
|
||||
description: `The candidate to simulate for the ${c.party} party (Default: ${c.name})`,
|
||||
type: ApplicationCommandOptionType.String
|
||||
},
|
||||
{
|
||||
name: c.party.toLowerCase().replace(/ /g, "_") + "_bias",
|
||||
description: `The bias toward the ${c.party} party (Default: 0)`,
|
||||
type: ApplicationCommandOptionType.Number
|
||||
}
|
||||
])
|
||||
],
|
||||
};
|
||||
})
|
||||
},
|
||||
{
|
||||
name: 'type',
|
||||
description: 'The type of election to simulate. Valid options are senate and presidential (default: presidential)',
|
||||
type: ApplicationCommandOptionType.String,
|
||||
},
|
||||
{
|
||||
name: 'year',
|
||||
description: 'The year to set the simulation to (default: 2024)',
|
||||
type: ApplicationCommandOptionType.Number,
|
||||
},
|
||||
{
|
||||
name: 'gopcandidate',
|
||||
description: 'The GOP candidate to simulate (default: Donald Trump)',
|
||||
type: ApplicationCommandOptionType.String,
|
||||
},
|
||||
{
|
||||
name: 'demcandidate',
|
||||
description: 'The Democratic candidate to simulate (default: Joe Biden)',
|
||||
type: ApplicationCommandOptionType.String,
|
||||
}
|
||||
],
|
||||
}
|
||||
];
|
||||
|
|
|
|||
19
src/election.ts
Normal file
19
src/election.ts
Normal file
|
|
@ -0,0 +1,19 @@
|
|||
export default interface Election {
|
||||
title : string,
|
||||
shortname : string,
|
||||
description : string,
|
||||
svg: string,
|
||||
candidates : {
|
||||
name : string,
|
||||
party : string,
|
||||
color : string
|
||||
}[],
|
||||
states : {
|
||||
[key : string] : {
|
||||
electoralVotes : number,
|
||||
odds : {
|
||||
[key : string] : number
|
||||
}
|
||||
}
|
||||
}
|
||||
}
|
||||
214
src/elections/1864.ts
Normal file
214
src/elections/1864.ts
Normal file
|
|
@ -0,0 +1,214 @@
|
|||
import { readFile } from "node:fs/promises";
|
||||
import Election from "../election.js";
|
||||
|
||||
const Presidential_1864 = {
|
||||
title: "1864 United States Presidential Election Simulator",
|
||||
shortname: "1864",
|
||||
description: "The CalubViem Press has rewritten history and called the 1864 United States Presidential Election for $WINNER!",
|
||||
svg: await readFile("assets/ElectoralCollege1864.svg", "utf-8"),
|
||||
candidates: [
|
||||
{
|
||||
name: "Abraham Lincoln",
|
||||
party: "National Union",
|
||||
color: "#BF1D29",
|
||||
},
|
||||
{
|
||||
name: "George B. McClellan",
|
||||
party: "Democratic",
|
||||
color: "#1C408C",
|
||||
},
|
||||
],
|
||||
states: {
|
||||
"CA": {
|
||||
electoralVotes: 5,
|
||||
odds: {
|
||||
"National Union": 0.7,
|
||||
"Democratic": 0.3,
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"CT": {
|
||||
electoralVotes: 6,
|
||||
odds: {
|
||||
"National Union": 0.6,
|
||||
"Democratic": 0.4,
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"DE": {
|
||||
electoralVotes: 3,
|
||||
odds: {
|
||||
"National Union": 0.5,
|
||||
"Democratic": 0.5,
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"IA": {
|
||||
electoralVotes: 8,
|
||||
odds: {
|
||||
"National Union": 0.95,
|
||||
"Democratic": 0.05,
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"IL": {
|
||||
electoralVotes: 16,
|
||||
odds: {
|
||||
"National Union": 0.8,
|
||||
"Democratic": 0.2,
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"IN": {
|
||||
electoralVotes: 13,
|
||||
odds: {
|
||||
"National Union": 0.6,
|
||||
"Democratic": 0.4,
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"KS": {
|
||||
electoralVotes: 3,
|
||||
odds: {
|
||||
"National Union": 1,
|
||||
"Democratic": 0,
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"KY": {
|
||||
electoralVotes: 11,
|
||||
odds: {
|
||||
"National Union": 0.2,
|
||||
"Democratic": 0.8,
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"LA": {
|
||||
electoralVotes: 7,
|
||||
odds: {
|
||||
"National Union": 0.2,
|
||||
"Democratic": 0.8,
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"MA": {
|
||||
electoralVotes: 12,
|
||||
odds: {
|
||||
"National Union": 1,
|
||||
"Democratic": 0,
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"MD": {
|
||||
electoralVotes: 7,
|
||||
odds: {
|
||||
"National Union": 0.7,
|
||||
"Democratic": 0.3,
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"ME": {
|
||||
electoralVotes: 7,
|
||||
odds: {
|
||||
"National Union": 0.9,
|
||||
"Democratic": 0.1,
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"MI": {
|
||||
electoralVotes: 8,
|
||||
odds: {
|
||||
"National Union": 0.7,
|
||||
"Democratic": 0.3,
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"MN": {
|
||||
electoralVotes: 4,
|
||||
odds: {
|
||||
"National Union": 0.8,
|
||||
"Democratic": 0.2,
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"MO": {
|
||||
electoralVotes: 11,
|
||||
odds: {
|
||||
"National Union": 0.99,
|
||||
"Democratic": 0.01,
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"NH": {
|
||||
electoralVotes: 5,
|
||||
odds: {
|
||||
"National Union": 0.6,
|
||||
"Democratic": 0.4,
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"NV": {
|
||||
electoralVotes: 2,
|
||||
odds: {
|
||||
"National Union": 0.9,
|
||||
"Democratic": 0.1,
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"NJ": {
|
||||
electoralVotes: 7,
|
||||
odds: {
|
||||
"National Union": 0.4,
|
||||
"Democratic": 0.6,
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"NY": {
|
||||
electoralVotes: 33,
|
||||
odds: {
|
||||
"National Union": 0.55,
|
||||
"Democratic": 0.45,
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"OH": {
|
||||
electoralVotes: 21,
|
||||
odds: {
|
||||
"National Union": 0.7,
|
||||
"Democratic": 0.3,
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"OR": {
|
||||
electoralVotes: 3,
|
||||
odds: {
|
||||
"National Union": 0.7,
|
||||
"Democratic": 0.3,
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"PA": {
|
||||
electoralVotes: 26,
|
||||
odds: {
|
||||
"National Union": 0.6,
|
||||
"Democratic": 0.4,
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"RI": {
|
||||
electoralVotes: 4,
|
||||
odds: {
|
||||
"National Union": 0.95,
|
||||
"Democratic": 0.05,
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"TN": {
|
||||
electoralVotes: 10,
|
||||
odds: {
|
||||
"National Union": 1,
|
||||
"Democratic": 0,
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"VT": {
|
||||
electoralVotes: 5,
|
||||
odds: {
|
||||
"National Union": 1,
|
||||
"Democratic": 0,
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"WI": {
|
||||
electoralVotes: 8,
|
||||
odds: {
|
||||
"National Union": 0.7,
|
||||
"Democratic": 0.3,
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"WV": {
|
||||
electoralVotes: 5,
|
||||
odds: {
|
||||
"National Union": 0.99,
|
||||
"Democratic": 0.01,
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
}
|
||||
}
|
||||
|
||||
export default Presidential_1864 as Election;
|
||||
403
src/elections/2024.ts
Normal file
403
src/elections/2024.ts
Normal file
|
|
@ -0,0 +1,403 @@
|
|||
import { readFile } from "node:fs/promises";
|
||||
import Election from "../election.js";
|
||||
|
||||
const Presidential_2024 = {
|
||||
title: "2024 United States Presidential Election Simulator",
|
||||
shortname: "2024",
|
||||
description: "The CalubViem Press has called the 2024 United States Presidential Election for $WINNER!",
|
||||
svg: await readFile("assets/ElectoralCollege2024.svg", "utf-8"),
|
||||
candidates: [
|
||||
{
|
||||
name: "Joseph R. Biden Jr.",
|
||||
party: "Democratic",
|
||||
color: "#1C408C",
|
||||
},
|
||||
{
|
||||
name: "Donald J. Trump",
|
||||
party: "Republican",
|
||||
color: "#BF1D29",
|
||||
}
|
||||
],
|
||||
states: {
|
||||
"AL": {
|
||||
electoralVotes: 9,
|
||||
odds: {
|
||||
"Republican": 1,
|
||||
"Democratic": 0,
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"AK": {
|
||||
electoralVotes: 3,
|
||||
odds: {
|
||||
"Republican": 1,
|
||||
"Democratic": 0,
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"AZ": {
|
||||
electoralVotes: 11,
|
||||
odds: {
|
||||
"Republican": 0.5,
|
||||
"Democratic": 0.5,
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"AR": {
|
||||
electoralVotes: 6,
|
||||
odds: {
|
||||
"Republican": 1,
|
||||
"Democratic": 0,
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"CA": {
|
||||
electoralVotes: 54,
|
||||
odds: {
|
||||
"Republican": 0,
|
||||
"Democratic": 1,
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"CO": {
|
||||
electoralVotes: 10,
|
||||
odds: {
|
||||
"Republican": 0,
|
||||
"Democratic": 1,
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"CT": {
|
||||
electoralVotes: 7,
|
||||
odds: {
|
||||
"Republican": 0,
|
||||
"Democratic": 1,
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"DE": {
|
||||
electoralVotes: 3,
|
||||
odds: {
|
||||
"Republican": 0,
|
||||
"Democratic": 1,
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"DC": {
|
||||
electoralVotes: 3,
|
||||
odds: {
|
||||
"Republican": 0,
|
||||
"Democratic": 1,
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"FL": {
|
||||
electoralVotes: 30,
|
||||
odds: {
|
||||
"Republican": 0.6,
|
||||
"Democratic": 0.4,
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"GA": {
|
||||
electoralVotes: 16,
|
||||
odds: {
|
||||
"Republican": 0.5,
|
||||
"Democratic": 0.5,
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"HI": {
|
||||
electoralVotes: 4,
|
||||
odds: {
|
||||
"Republican": 0,
|
||||
"Democratic": 1,
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"ID": {
|
||||
electoralVotes: 4,
|
||||
odds: {
|
||||
"Republican": 1,
|
||||
"Democratic": 0,
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"IL": {
|
||||
electoralVotes: 19,
|
||||
odds: {
|
||||
"Republican": 0,
|
||||
"Democratic": 1,
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"IN": {
|
||||
electoralVotes: 11,
|
||||
odds: {
|
||||
"Republican": 1,
|
||||
"Democratic": 0,
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"IA": {
|
||||
electoralVotes: 6,
|
||||
odds: {
|
||||
"Republican": 0.8,
|
||||
"Democratic": 0.2,
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"KS": {
|
||||
electoralVotes: 6,
|
||||
odds: {
|
||||
"Republican": 1,
|
||||
"Democratic": 0,
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"KY": {
|
||||
electoralVotes: 8,
|
||||
odds: {
|
||||
"Republican": 1,
|
||||
"Democratic": 0,
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"LA": {
|
||||
electoralVotes: 8,
|
||||
odds: {
|
||||
"Republican": 1,
|
||||
"Democratic": 0,
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"ME": {
|
||||
electoralVotes: 2,
|
||||
odds: {
|
||||
"Republican": 0.2,
|
||||
"Democratic": 0.8,
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"ME-01": {
|
||||
electoralVotes: 1,
|
||||
odds: {
|
||||
"Republican": 0,
|
||||
"Democratic": 1,
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"ME-02": {
|
||||
electoralVotes: 1,
|
||||
odds: {
|
||||
"Republican": 0.8,
|
||||
"Democratic": 0.2,
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"MD": {
|
||||
electoralVotes: 10,
|
||||
odds: {
|
||||
"Republican": 0,
|
||||
"Democratic": 1,
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"MA": {
|
||||
electoralVotes: 11,
|
||||
odds: {
|
||||
"Republican": 0,
|
||||
"Democratic": 1,
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"MI": {
|
||||
electoralVotes: 15,
|
||||
odds: {
|
||||
"Republican": 0.5,
|
||||
"Democratic": 0.5,
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"MN": {
|
||||
electoralVotes: 10,
|
||||
odds: {
|
||||
"Republican": 0.4,
|
||||
"Democratic": 0.6,
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"MS": {
|
||||
electoralVotes: 6,
|
||||
odds: {
|
||||
"Republican": 1,
|
||||
"Democratic": 0,
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"MO": {
|
||||
electoralVotes: 10,
|
||||
odds: {
|
||||
"Republican": 1,
|
||||
"Democratic": 0,
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"MT": {
|
||||
electoralVotes: 4,
|
||||
odds: {
|
||||
"Republican": 1,
|
||||
"Democratic": 0,
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"NE": {
|
||||
electoralVotes: 4,
|
||||
odds: {
|
||||
"Republican": 1,
|
||||
"Democratic": 0,
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"NE-02": {
|
||||
electoralVotes: 1,
|
||||
odds: {
|
||||
"Republican": 0.55,
|
||||
"Democratic": 0.45,
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"NV": {
|
||||
electoralVotes: 6,
|
||||
odds: {
|
||||
"Republican": 0.5,
|
||||
"Democratic": 0.5,
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"NH": {
|
||||
electoralVotes: 4,
|
||||
odds: {
|
||||
"Republican": 0.4,
|
||||
"Democratic": 0.6,
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"NJ": {
|
||||
electoralVotes: 14,
|
||||
odds: {
|
||||
"Republican": 0,
|
||||
"Democratic": 1,
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"NM": {
|
||||
electoralVotes: 5,
|
||||
odds: {
|
||||
"Republican": 0,
|
||||
"Democratic": 1,
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"NY": {
|
||||
electoralVotes: 28,
|
||||
odds: {
|
||||
"Republican": 0,
|
||||
"Democratic": 1,
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"NC": {
|
||||
electoralVotes: 16,
|
||||
odds: {
|
||||
"Republican": 0.55,
|
||||
"Democratic": 0.45,
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"ND": {
|
||||
electoralVotes: 3,
|
||||
odds: {
|
||||
"Republican": 1,
|
||||
"Democratic": 0,
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"OH": {
|
||||
electoralVotes: 17,
|
||||
odds: {
|
||||
"Republican": 0.8,
|
||||
"Democratic": 0.2,
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"OK": {
|
||||
electoralVotes: 7,
|
||||
odds: {
|
||||
"Republican": 1,
|
||||
"Democratic": 0,
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"OR": {
|
||||
electoralVotes: 8,
|
||||
odds: {
|
||||
"Republican": 0,
|
||||
"Democratic": 1,
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"PA": {
|
||||
electoralVotes: 19,
|
||||
odds: {
|
||||
"Republican": 0.5,
|
||||
"Democratic": 0.5,
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"RI": {
|
||||
electoralVotes: 4,
|
||||
odds: {
|
||||
"Republican": 0,
|
||||
"Democratic": 1,
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"SC": {
|
||||
electoralVotes: 9,
|
||||
odds: {
|
||||
"Republican": 1,
|
||||
"Democratic": 0,
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"SD": {
|
||||
electoralVotes: 3,
|
||||
odds: {
|
||||
"Republican": 1,
|
||||
"Democratic": 0,
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"TN": {
|
||||
electoralVotes: 11,
|
||||
odds: {
|
||||
"Republican": 1,
|
||||
"Democratic": 0,
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"TX": {
|
||||
electoralVotes: 40,
|
||||
odds: {
|
||||
"Republican": 0.8,
|
||||
"Democratic": 0.2,
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"UT": {
|
||||
electoralVotes: 6,
|
||||
odds: {
|
||||
"Republican": 1,
|
||||
"Democratic": 0,
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"VT": {
|
||||
electoralVotes: 3,
|
||||
odds: {
|
||||
"Republican": 0,
|
||||
"Democratic": 1,
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"VA": {
|
||||
electoralVotes: 13,
|
||||
odds: {
|
||||
"Republican": 0.2,
|
||||
"Democratic": 0.8,
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"WA": {
|
||||
electoralVotes: 12,
|
||||
odds: {
|
||||
"Republican": 0,
|
||||
"Democratic": 1,
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"WV": {
|
||||
electoralVotes: 4,
|
||||
odds: {
|
||||
"Republican": 1,
|
||||
"Democratic": 0,
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"WI": {
|
||||
electoralVotes: 10,
|
||||
odds: {
|
||||
"Republican": 0.5,
|
||||
"Democratic": 0.5,
|
||||
}
|
||||
},
|
||||
"WY": {
|
||||
electoralVotes: 3,
|
||||
odds: {
|
||||
"Republican": 1,
|
||||
"Democratic": 0,
|
||||
}
|
||||
}
|
||||
}
|
||||
}
|
||||
|
||||
export default Presidential_2024 as Election;
|
||||
10
src/elections/elections.ts
Normal file
10
src/elections/elections.ts
Normal file
|
|
@ -0,0 +1,10 @@
|
|||
import Election from "../election.js";
|
||||
import Presidential_1864 from "./1864.js";
|
||||
import Presidential_2024 from "./2024.js";
|
||||
|
||||
const Elections = {
|
||||
"1864": Presidential_1864,
|
||||
"2024": Presidential_2024
|
||||
}
|
||||
|
||||
export default (Elections as {[key : string] : Election})
|
||||
103
src/index.ts
103
src/index.ts
|
|
@ -1,7 +1,10 @@
|
|||
import {REST, Routes, Client, GatewayIntentBits, CommandInteraction, EmbedBuilder } from "discord.js";
|
||||
import {REST, Routes, Client, GatewayIntentBits, CommandInteraction, EmbedBuilder, CommandInteractionOption, CommandInteractionOptionResolver } from "discord.js";
|
||||
import * as fs from "node:fs";
|
||||
import commands from "./commands.js";
|
||||
import {MakePrediction} from "./predictor.js";
|
||||
import Election from "./election.js";
|
||||
import Presidential_2024 from "./elections/2024.js";
|
||||
import Elections from "./elections/elections.js";
|
||||
|
||||
const configraw = fs.readFileSync("config.json", "utf-8");
|
||||
const config = JSON.parse(configraw);
|
||||
|
|
@ -31,59 +34,57 @@ if (!config.token) {
|
|||
await i.reply(`Biden Approval Rating\n\n${polls}`);
|
||||
break;
|
||||
case "simulate":
|
||||
var simulationtype = i.options.get('type')?.value as string || "presidential";
|
||||
var year = Number(i.options.get('year')?.value);
|
||||
var electionname = (i.options as CommandInteractionOptionResolver).getSubcommand();
|
||||
|
||||
switch(simulationtype) {
|
||||
case "presidential":
|
||||
if (year == 1864) {
|
||||
var gopcandidate = i.options.get('gopcandidate')?.value as string || "Abraham Lincoln";
|
||||
var demcandidate = i.options.get('demcandidate')?.value as string || "George B. McClellan";
|
||||
var result = await MakePrediction(Number(i.options.get('bias')?.value), gopcandidate, demcandidate, simulationtype, Number(i.options.get('year')?.value));
|
||||
var embed = new EmbedBuilder()
|
||||
.setTitle("1864 United States Presidential Election Simulator")
|
||||
.setDescription(`The CalubViem Press has rewritten history, and has called the 1864 United States Presidential Election for ${result.winner}!`)
|
||||
.addFields(
|
||||
{name: `${result.winner === gopcandidate ? ":white_check_mark:" : ""} ${gopcandidate}`, value: `${result.gopVotes} Electoral Votes`, inline: true},
|
||||
{name: `${result.winner === demcandidate ? ":white_check_mark:" : ""} ${demcandidate}`, value: `${result.demVotes} Electoral Votes`, inline: true},
|
||||
)
|
||||
.setImage("attachment://election.png")
|
||||
.setTimestamp();
|
||||
await i.reply({embeds: [embed], files: [{attachment: result.png, name: "election.png"}]});
|
||||
break;
|
||||
} else {
|
||||
var gopcandidate = i.options.get('gopcandidate')?.value as string || "Donald J. Trump";
|
||||
var demcandidate = i.options.get('demcandidate')?.value as string || "Joseph R. Biden Jr.";
|
||||
var result = await MakePrediction(Number(i.options.get('bias')?.value), gopcandidate, demcandidate, simulationtype, Number(i.options.get('year')?.value));
|
||||
var embed = new EmbedBuilder()
|
||||
.setTitle("2024 United States Presidential Election Simulator")
|
||||
.setDescription(`The CalubViem Press has called the 2024 United States Presidential Election for ${result.winner}!`)
|
||||
.addFields(
|
||||
{name: `${result.winner === gopcandidate ? ":white_check_mark:" : ""} ${gopcandidate}`, value: `${result.gopVotes} Electoral Votes`, inline: true},
|
||||
{name: `${result.winner === demcandidate ? ":white_check_mark:" : ""} ${demcandidate}`, value: `${result.demVotes} Electoral Votes`, inline: true},
|
||||
)
|
||||
.setImage("attachment://election.png")
|
||||
.setTimestamp();
|
||||
await i.reply({embeds: [embed], files: [{attachment: result.png, name: "election.png"}]});
|
||||
break;
|
||||
var election = structuredClone(Elections[electionname]);
|
||||
for (const candidate of election.candidates) {
|
||||
var option = (i.options as CommandInteractionOptionResolver).getString(candidate.party.toLowerCase().replace(/ /g, "_") + "_candidate");
|
||||
if (option) {
|
||||
candidate.name = option;
|
||||
}
|
||||
var bias = (i.options as CommandInteractionOptionResolver).getNumber(candidate.party.toLowerCase().replace(/ /g, "_") + "_bias");
|
||||
if (bias) {
|
||||
for (const state of Object.keys(election.states)) {
|
||||
election.states[state].odds[candidate.party] += bias;
|
||||
}
|
||||
case "senate":
|
||||
var gopcandidate = i.options.get('gopcandidate')?.value as string || "Republicans";
|
||||
var demcandidate = i.options.get('demcandidate')?.value as string || "Democrats";
|
||||
var result = await MakePrediction(Number(i.options.get('bias')?.value), gopcandidate, demcandidate, simulationtype, 0);
|
||||
var embed = new EmbedBuilder()
|
||||
.setTitle("2024 United States Senate Simulator")
|
||||
.setDescription(`The CalubViem Press has called the 2024 United States Senate for ${result.winner}!`)
|
||||
.addFields(
|
||||
{name: `${result.winner === gopcandidate ? ":white_check_mark:" : ""} ${gopcandidate}`, value: `${result.gopVotes} seats`, inline: true},
|
||||
{name: `${result.winner === demcandidate ? ":white_check_mark:" : ""} ${demcandidate}`, value: `${result.demVotes} seats`, inline: true},
|
||||
)
|
||||
.setImage("attachment://election.png")
|
||||
.setTimestamp();
|
||||
await i.reply({embeds: [embed], files: [{attachment: result.png, name: "election.png"}]});
|
||||
break;
|
||||
}
|
||||
}
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
var newcandidate = (i.options as CommandInteractionOptionResolver).getString("add_candidate");
|
||||
if (newcandidate) {
|
||||
var party = (i.options as CommandInteractionOptionResolver).getString("with_party") || "Independent";
|
||||
var color = (i.options as CommandInteractionOptionResolver).getString("with_color") || "#bfab22";
|
||||
var odds = (i.options as CommandInteractionOptionResolver).getNumber("with_odds") || 0.33;
|
||||
if (!/^#[0-9A-Fa-f]{3,6}$/.test(color)) {
|
||||
await i.reply("Please provide a valid hex color code");
|
||||
return;
|
||||
}
|
||||
if (election.candidates.some(c => c.party === party || c.name === newcandidate)) {
|
||||
await i.reply("A candidate with that name or party already exists");
|
||||
return
|
||||
}
|
||||
election.candidates.push({
|
||||
name: newcandidate,
|
||||
party: party,
|
||||
color: color
|
||||
});
|
||||
for (const state of Object.keys(election.states))
|
||||
election.states[state].odds[party] = odds;
|
||||
}
|
||||
var result = await MakePrediction(election);
|
||||
var embed = new EmbedBuilder()
|
||||
.setTitle(election.title)
|
||||
.setDescription(election.description.replace("$WINNER", result.winner))
|
||||
.addFields(result.candidates.map(c => {
|
||||
return {
|
||||
name: `${(result.winner === c.name ? ":white_check_mark:" : "")} ${c.name} (${c.party})`,
|
||||
value: `${c.votes} Electoral Votes`,
|
||||
inline: true
|
||||
}
|
||||
}))
|
||||
.setImage("attachment://election.png")
|
||||
.setTimestamp();
|
||||
await i.reply({embeds: [embed], files: [{attachment: result.png, name: "election.png"}]});
|
||||
}
|
||||
}
|
||||
});
|
||||
|
|
|
|||
236
src/numbers.ts
236
src/numbers.ts
|
|
@ -1,236 +0,0 @@
|
|||
const GOP_WIN_ODDS = {
|
||||
// Data from https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/president
|
||||
// Toss-up
|
||||
"AZ": 0.5,
|
||||
"GA": 0.5,
|
||||
"MI": 0.5,
|
||||
"NV": 0.5,
|
||||
"PA": 0.5,
|
||||
"WI": 0.5,
|
||||
// Lean D
|
||||
"MN": 0.4,
|
||||
"NH": 0.4,
|
||||
// Likely D
|
||||
"ME": 0.2,
|
||||
"VA": 0.2,
|
||||
// Solid D
|
||||
"CA": 0,
|
||||
"CO": 0,
|
||||
"CT": 0,
|
||||
"DC": 0,
|
||||
"DE": 0,
|
||||
"HI": 0,
|
||||
"IL": 0,
|
||||
"MA": 0,
|
||||
"MD": 0,
|
||||
"NJ": 0,
|
||||
"NM": 0,
|
||||
"NY": 0,
|
||||
"OR": 0,
|
||||
"RI": 0,
|
||||
"VT": 0,
|
||||
"WA": 0,
|
||||
"ME-01": 0,
|
||||
// Tilt R
|
||||
"NC": 0.55,
|
||||
"NE-02": 0.55,
|
||||
// Lean R
|
||||
"FL": 0.6,
|
||||
// Likely R
|
||||
"IA": 0.8,
|
||||
"OH": 0.8,
|
||||
"TX": 0.8,
|
||||
"ME-02": 0.8,
|
||||
// Solid R
|
||||
"AK": 1,
|
||||
"AL": 1,
|
||||
"AR": 1,
|
||||
"ID": 1,
|
||||
"IN": 1,
|
||||
"KS": 1,
|
||||
"KY": 1,
|
||||
"LA": 1,
|
||||
"MO": 1,
|
||||
"MS": 1,
|
||||
"MT": 1,
|
||||
"NE": 1,
|
||||
"ND": 1,
|
||||
"OK": 1,
|
||||
"SC": 1,
|
||||
"SD": 1,
|
||||
"TN": 1,
|
||||
"UT": 1,
|
||||
"WV": 1,
|
||||
"WY": 1
|
||||
};
|
||||
|
||||
const GOP_WIN_ODDS_1864 = {
|
||||
// Solid R
|
||||
"TN": 1,
|
||||
"KS": 1,
|
||||
"VT": 1,
|
||||
"MA": 1,
|
||||
// Likely R
|
||||
"MO": 0.99,
|
||||
"WV": 0.99,
|
||||
"IA": 0.95,
|
||||
"RI": 0.95,
|
||||
"NV": 0.9,
|
||||
"ME": 0.9,
|
||||
"IL": 0.8,
|
||||
"MN": 0.8,
|
||||
"CA": 0.7,
|
||||
"OH": 0.7,
|
||||
"WI": 0.7,
|
||||
"MD": 0.7,
|
||||
"OR": 0.7,
|
||||
"MI": 0.7,
|
||||
"IN": 0.6,
|
||||
"NH": 0.6,
|
||||
"PA": 0.6,
|
||||
"CT": 0.6,
|
||||
"NY": 0.55,
|
||||
"DE": 0.5,
|
||||
// Likely D
|
||||
"NJ": 0.4,
|
||||
"KY": 0.2,
|
||||
"LA": 0.2
|
||||
};
|
||||
|
||||
const GOP_WIN_ODDS_SENATE = {
|
||||
// Data from https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/senate
|
||||
// Toss-up
|
||||
"MT": 0.5,
|
||||
"OH": 0.5,
|
||||
// Tilt D
|
||||
"AZ": 0.4,
|
||||
"MI": 0.4,
|
||||
"NV": 0.4,
|
||||
"PA": 0.4,
|
||||
// Lean D
|
||||
"WI": 0.3,
|
||||
// Likely D
|
||||
"MD": 0.2,
|
||||
// Solid D
|
||||
"CA": 0,
|
||||
"CT": 0,
|
||||
"DE": 0,
|
||||
"HI": 0,
|
||||
"MA": 0,
|
||||
"ME": 0,
|
||||
"MN": 0,
|
||||
"NJ": 0,
|
||||
"NM": 0,
|
||||
"NY": 0,
|
||||
"RI": 0,
|
||||
"VA": 0,
|
||||
"VT": 0,
|
||||
"WA": 0,
|
||||
// Likely R
|
||||
"TX": 0.8,
|
||||
// Solid R
|
||||
"FL": 1,
|
||||
"IN": 1,
|
||||
"MO": 1,
|
||||
"MS": 1,
|
||||
"ND": 1,
|
||||
"NE": 1,
|
||||
"NE-02": 1,
|
||||
"TN": 1,
|
||||
"UT": 1,
|
||||
"WV": 1,
|
||||
"WY": 1
|
||||
}
|
||||
|
||||
const ELECTORAL_COLLEGE = {
|
||||
"AL": 9,
|
||||
"AK": 3,
|
||||
"AZ": 11,
|
||||
"AR": 6,
|
||||
"CA": 54,
|
||||
"CO": 10,
|
||||
"CT": 7,
|
||||
"DE": 3,
|
||||
"DC": 3,
|
||||
"FL": 30,
|
||||
"GA": 16,
|
||||
"HI": 4,
|
||||
"ID": 4,
|
||||
"IL": 19,
|
||||
"IN": 11,
|
||||
"IA": 6,
|
||||
"KS": 6,
|
||||
"KY": 8,
|
||||
"LA": 8,
|
||||
"ME": 2,
|
||||
"ME-01": 1,
|
||||
"ME-02": 1,
|
||||
"MD": 10,
|
||||
"MA": 11,
|
||||
"MI": 15,
|
||||
"MN": 10,
|
||||
"MS": 6,
|
||||
"MO": 10,
|
||||
"MT": 4,
|
||||
"NE": 4,
|
||||
"NE-02": 1,
|
||||
"NV": 6,
|
||||
"NH": 4,
|
||||
"NJ": 14,
|
||||
"NM": 5,
|
||||
"NY": 28,
|
||||
"NC": 16,
|
||||
"ND": 3,
|
||||
"OH": 17,
|
||||
"OK": 7,
|
||||
"OR": 8,
|
||||
"PA": 19,
|
||||
"RI": 4,
|
||||
"SC": 9,
|
||||
"SD": 3,
|
||||
"TN": 11,
|
||||
"TX": 40,
|
||||
"UT": 6,
|
||||
"VT": 3,
|
||||
"VA": 13,
|
||||
"WA": 12,
|
||||
"WV": 4,
|
||||
"WI": 10,
|
||||
"WY": 3
|
||||
};
|
||||
|
||||
const ELECTORAL_COLLEGE_1864 = {
|
||||
"CA": 5,
|
||||
"CT": 6,
|
||||
"DE": 3,
|
||||
"IA": 8,
|
||||
"IL": 16,
|
||||
"IN": 13,
|
||||
"KS": 3,
|
||||
"KY": 11,
|
||||
"LA": 7,
|
||||
"MA": 12,
|
||||
"MD": 7,
|
||||
"ME": 7,
|
||||
"MI": 8,
|
||||
"MN": 4,
|
||||
"MO": 11,
|
||||
"NH": 5,
|
||||
"NV": 2,
|
||||
"NJ": 7,
|
||||
"NY": 33,
|
||||
"OH": 21,
|
||||
"OR": 3,
|
||||
"PA": 26,
|
||||
"RI": 4,
|
||||
"TN": 10,
|
||||
"VT": 5,
|
||||
"WI": 8,
|
||||
"WV": 5
|
||||
};
|
||||
|
||||
export const ElectoralCollege = ELECTORAL_COLLEGE;
|
||||
export const ElectoralCollege1864 = ELECTORAL_COLLEGE_1864;
|
||||
export const GOPWinOddsSenate = GOP_WIN_ODDS_SENATE;
|
||||
export const GOPWinOdds1864 = GOP_WIN_ODDS_1864;
|
||||
export const GOPWinOdds = GOP_WIN_ODDS;
|
||||
164
src/predictor.ts
164
src/predictor.ts
|
|
@ -1,134 +1,70 @@
|
|||
import { ElectoralCollege, ElectoralCollege1864, GOPWinOdds, GOPWinOdds1864, GOPWinOddsSenate } from "./numbers.js";
|
||||
import { createSVGWindow } from 'svgdom'
|
||||
import { SVG, registerWindow } from '@svgdotjs/svg.js'
|
||||
import * as fs from "node:fs/promises";
|
||||
import sharp from "sharp";
|
||||
import crypto from "crypto";
|
||||
import Election from "./election.js";
|
||||
|
||||
const BASE_SVG = await fs.readFile("assets/ElectoralCollege2024.svg", "utf-8");
|
||||
const BASE_SVG_1864 = await fs.readFile("assets/ElectoralCollege1864.svg", "utf-8");
|
||||
const BASE_SVG_SENATE = await fs.readFile("assets/SenateMap2024.svg", "utf-8");
|
||||
export function MakePrediction(election : Election) : Promise<Prediction> {
|
||||
return new Promise(async res => {
|
||||
const window = createSVGWindow();
|
||||
registerWindow(window, window.document);
|
||||
var draw = SVG(window.document.documentElement);
|
||||
draw.svg(election.svg);
|
||||
var pred = {} as any;
|
||||
pred.candidates = [];
|
||||
for (var candidate of election.candidates) {
|
||||
pred.candidates.push({
|
||||
name: candidate.name,
|
||||
party: candidate.party,
|
||||
votes: 0,
|
||||
});
|
||||
}
|
||||
|
||||
export function MakePrediction(bias : number, gopcandidate : string, demcandidate : string, simulationtype : string, year : number) : Promise<Prediction> {
|
||||
return new Promise(async res => {
|
||||
if (Number.isNaN(bias)) bias = 0;
|
||||
const window = createSVGWindow();
|
||||
registerWindow(window, window.document);
|
||||
var election = {} as any;
|
||||
var gopVotes = 0;
|
||||
var demVotes = 0;
|
||||
for (const state of Object.keys(election.states)) {
|
||||
var winner = await weightedRand(election.states[state].odds);
|
||||
pred.candidates.find((c : any) => c.party === winner).votes += election.states[state].electoralVotes;
|
||||
// @ts-ignore
|
||||
draw.find(`#${state}`).fill(election.candidates.find((c : any) => c.party === winner).color);
|
||||
}
|
||||
|
||||
var s = sharp(Buffer.from(draw.svg()));
|
||||
var png = await s.png().toBuffer();
|
||||
pred.winner = pred.candidates.sort((a : any, b : any) => b.votes - a.votes)[0].name;
|
||||
pred.svg = draw.svg();
|
||||
pred.png = png;
|
||||
res(pred);
|
||||
|
||||
switch (simulationtype) {
|
||||
case "presidential":
|
||||
if(year == 1864) {
|
||||
var draw = SVG(window.document.documentElement);
|
||||
draw.svg(BASE_SVG_1864);
|
||||
for (const state of Object.keys(ElectoralCollege1864)) {
|
||||
if ((GOPWinOdds1864 as any)[state] >= bias + await betterRandom()) {
|
||||
election[state] = "R";
|
||||
gopVotes += (ElectoralCollege1864 as any)[state];
|
||||
// @ts-ignore
|
||||
draw.find(`#${state}`).fill("#BF1D29");
|
||||
}
|
||||
else {
|
||||
election[state] = "D";
|
||||
demVotes += (ElectoralCollege1864 as any)[state];
|
||||
// @ts-ignore
|
||||
draw.find(`#${state}`).fill("#1C408C");
|
||||
}
|
||||
};
|
||||
var s = sharp(Buffer.from(draw.svg()));
|
||||
var png = await s.png().toBuffer();
|
||||
res({
|
||||
gopVotes,
|
||||
demVotes,
|
||||
gopCandidate: gopcandidate,
|
||||
demCandidate: demcandidate,
|
||||
winner: gopVotes > demVotes ? gopcandidate : demcandidate,
|
||||
svg: draw.svg(),
|
||||
png,
|
||||
});
|
||||
break;
|
||||
} else {
|
||||
var draw = SVG(window.document.documentElement);
|
||||
draw.svg(BASE_SVG);
|
||||
for (const state of Object.keys(ElectoralCollege)) {
|
||||
if ((GOPWinOdds as any)[state] >= bias + await betterRandom()) {
|
||||
election[state] = "R";
|
||||
gopVotes += (ElectoralCollege as any)[state];
|
||||
// @ts-ignore
|
||||
draw.find(`#${state}`).fill("#BF1D29");
|
||||
}
|
||||
else {
|
||||
election[state] = "D";
|
||||
demVotes += (ElectoralCollege as any)[state];
|
||||
// @ts-ignore
|
||||
draw.find(`#${state}`).fill("#1C408C");
|
||||
}
|
||||
};
|
||||
var s = sharp(Buffer.from(draw.svg()));
|
||||
var png = await s.png().toBuffer();
|
||||
res({
|
||||
gopVotes,
|
||||
demVotes,
|
||||
gopCandidate: gopcandidate,
|
||||
demCandidate: demcandidate,
|
||||
winner: gopVotes > demVotes ? gopcandidate : demcandidate,
|
||||
svg: draw.svg(),
|
||||
png,
|
||||
});
|
||||
break;
|
||||
}
|
||||
case "senate":
|
||||
var draw = SVG(window.document.documentElement);
|
||||
draw.svg(BASE_SVG_SENATE);
|
||||
let senatestates = ["AZ", "CA", "CT", "DE", "FL", "HI", "IN", "MA", "MD", "ME", "MI", "MN",
|
||||
"MO", "MS", "MT", "ND", "NE", "NE-02", "NJ", "NM", "NV", "NY", "OH", "PA", "RI", "TN", "TX",
|
||||
"UT", "VA", "VT", "WA", "WI", "WV", "WY"];
|
||||
|
||||
for await (const state of senatestates) {
|
||||
if ((GOPWinOddsSenate as any)[state] >= bias + await betterRandom()) {
|
||||
election[state] = "R";
|
||||
gopVotes += 1;
|
||||
// @ts-ignore
|
||||
draw.find(`#${state}`).fill("#BF1D29");
|
||||
} else {
|
||||
election[state] = "D";
|
||||
demVotes += 1;
|
||||
// @ts-ignore
|
||||
draw.find(`#${state}`).fill("#1C408C");
|
||||
}
|
||||
}
|
||||
var s = sharp(Buffer.from(draw.svg()));
|
||||
var png = await s.png().toBuffer();
|
||||
res({
|
||||
gopVotes,
|
||||
demVotes,
|
||||
gopCandidate: gopcandidate,
|
||||
demCandidate: demcandidate,
|
||||
winner: gopVotes > demVotes ? gopcandidate : demcandidate,
|
||||
svg: draw.svg(),
|
||||
png,
|
||||
});
|
||||
break;
|
||||
}
|
||||
});
|
||||
});
|
||||
}
|
||||
|
||||
export interface Prediction {
|
||||
gopVotes: number,
|
||||
demVotes: number,
|
||||
gopCandidate: string,
|
||||
demCandidate: string,
|
||||
candidates : {
|
||||
name : string,
|
||||
party : string,
|
||||
votes : string,
|
||||
}[],
|
||||
winner: string,
|
||||
svg: string,
|
||||
png: Buffer,
|
||||
}
|
||||
|
||||
export function betterRandom() : Promise<number> {
|
||||
export function betterRandom(min : number, max : number) : Promise<number> {
|
||||
return new Promise(res => {
|
||||
crypto.randomBytes(4, (err, buf) => {
|
||||
res(buf.readUInt32BE(0) / 0x100000000);
|
||||
if (err) throw err;
|
||||
const random = buf.readUInt32LE(0) / 0x100000000;
|
||||
res(Math.floor(min + random * (max - min)));
|
||||
});
|
||||
});
|
||||
}
|
||||
|
||||
// https://stackoverflow.com/a/8435261
|
||||
export async function weightedRand(spec : { [key : string] : number }) : Promise<string> {
|
||||
var i, j, table = [];
|
||||
for (i in spec) {
|
||||
for (j = 0; j < spec[i] * 10; j++) {
|
||||
table.push(i);
|
||||
}
|
||||
}
|
||||
return table[await betterRandom(0, table.length)];
|
||||
}
|
||||
Loading…
Reference in a new issue